Bringing oil back home
Let us look at energy first. Global supply lines are looking distinctly brittle right now. When conflict erupts in distant oil-producing regions, global prices inevitably surge. But if you are a domestic US producer sitting comfortably in the Permian Basin, you do not face those same logistical nightmares. You simply reap the reward of tighter global supply.
A few years ago, the European energy market was a ghost town of empty reserves. Then, a handful of geopolitical shocks changed everything. Suddenly, domestic energy security was no longer a political talking point. It became an urgent necessity.
A company like ConocoPhillips operates largely within the Lower 48 states. They dig holes, they extract oil, and they sell it at a premium. It is a remarkably straightforward business model. Of course, energy markets are notoriously fickle. If global tensions suddenly evaporate or demand weakens, oil prices could plummet. If that happens, these stocks would likely feel the sting.