Picking the Winners from the Rubble
So, who stands to gain from this disruption? To me, the list is quite straightforward. First up are the payment processors themselves. Companies like PayPal and Mastercard have the global infrastructure and developer relationships ready to go. They’ve been waiting patiently outside the fortress walls for years, and now the gate is finally ajar. They could be poised to capture a flood of transactions that were previously off-limits.
Next, of course, are the app developers. From gaming giants to streaming services, any company that has been grumbling about the 30 percent ‘tech tax’ could see a direct and immediate improvement to its profit margins. This is especially true for subscription models, where those fees really start to add up over the lifetime of a customer.
And here’s a thought, perhaps even Google itself doesn’t lose out entirely in the long run. Yes, it might lose some commission revenue, but it could also face less regulatory heat and be forced to actually compete on service, not just on control.