Southern CopperFreeport-McMoRan

Southern Copper vs Freeport-McMoRan

Southern Copper operates some of the world's lowest-cost copper mines in Peru and Mexico with a majority shareholder that provides financial backing few rivals can match, while Freeport-McMoRan runs a...

Why It's Moving

Southern Copper

SCCO Plunges on CEO's Sudden Death, Fueling Analyst Warnings of 33% Downside

  • CEO's abrupt exit removes key steward of $15B+ multi-year projects, sparking fears of execution hiccups in core copper operations.
  • Q2 2025 output slipped 1% with elevated costs, hinting at potential earnings shortfalls that could extend recent weak performance.
  • Bank downgrades and consensus forecasts signal heavy sell pressure, amplifying macro worries like trade tensions curbing exports.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Freeport-McMoRan

FCX Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -17% Downside Risk

  • Wells Fargo slashed its price target to $68 from $77, citing slower Grasberg ramp-up that forced a 300 million pound cut in 2026/27 copper sales, triggering a sharp intraday drop.
  • Multiple firms like Scotiabank, Deutsche Bank, and Morgan Stanley trimmed targets to around $66-$68, pushing consensus lower and highlighting mixed fundamentals despite an overweight rating.
  • Valuation models flag FCX as overvalued at $67+ versus intrinsic estimates near $47, underscoring vulnerability to sector headwinds and insider selling.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Southern Copper reported strong Q3 2025 revenue growth, surpassing estimates and showing resilience in a challenging market.
  • The company maintains a high dividend yield, projected at 6.4% for 2025, making it attractive for income-focused investors.
  • Southern Copper benefits from robust production growth in zinc and silver, diversifying its revenue streams beyond copper.

Considerations

  • Copper production declined slightly year-on-year, reflecting operational challenges and potential supply constraints.
  • Analysts forecast a negative average price target for the stock, suggesting limited near-term upside and possible downside risk.
  • The company faces headwinds from global trade tensions and potential tariffs on US copper imports, impacting future demand.

Pros

  • Freeport-McMoRan holds a leading position in global copper mining, with significant stakes in major operations like Grasberg in Indonesia.
  • The company benefits from a diversified asset base across North America, reducing reliance on any single region or commodity.
  • Freeport-McMoRan has demonstrated strong operational efficiency and cost management in recent quarters.

Considerations

  • Freeport-McMoRan's stock has underperformed over the past year, with a notable decline compared to sector peers.
  • The company is exposed to geopolitical risks in key mining regions, which could disrupt operations and impact profitability.
  • Freeport-McMoRan faces ongoing challenges related to environmental regulations and community relations at its mining sites.

Southern Copper (SCCO) Next Earnings Date

Southern Copper's next earnings date for Q1 2026 is estimated between April 24 and April 27, 2026, based on historical patterns and analyst projections, though the company has not yet confirmed the exact date. This report follows their most recent Q4 2025 earnings released on January 27, 2026. Investors should monitor for official announcements as the date approaches.[citation removed per constraints]

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Next Earnings Date

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) most recently reported Q1 2026 earnings on April 23, 2026. The next earnings release, covering Q2 2026, is estimated for July 22-23, 2026, based on the company's historical quarterly pattern, though no official date has been announced. Investors should monitor for confirmation as the date approaches.

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SCCO
SCCO$170.49
vs
FCX
FCX$58.50