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SantanderProgressive

Santander vs Progressive

Santander (Banco Santander, S.A.) and Progressive (Progressive Corp.) β€” this page compares business models, financial performance, and market context, offering neutral, accessible insights into how ea...

Why It's Moving

Santander

Banco Santander surges to 52-week high amid revenue strength and analyst scrutiny.

  • Revenue crushed expectations at $26.22 billion versus $15.32 billion forecast, highlighting strong net interest income and a healthy 17.9% net margin.
  • Hit intraday 52-week high of $12.34 with elevated trading volume, reflecting market enthusiasm for 11.68% return on equity.
  • Analysts split with Hold consensus after downgrades from DZ Bank, Barclays, and UBS, tempering optimism on near-term upside.
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish
Progressive

Progressive Stock Hits 1-Year Low Amid Analyst Downgrades and Insider Selling Pressure.

  • BMO Capital slashed its price target from $253 to $239 with a 'market perform' rating, while Wells Fargo trimmed theirs to $240, highlighting tempered growth expectations.
  • Insiders, including the CFO, offloaded over 9,000 shares worth $2M in the past quarter, fueling perceptions of limited near-term upside.
  • Stock closed at $206 amid a weekly 1.7% gain off lows but 9.2% down over 30 days, trading at a P/E of 11.15 below industry averages.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Santander delivered record attributable profit in the first nine months of 2025, underscoring resilient earnings growth amid a challenging macro environment.
  • The bank maintains a broad geographic footprint with leading positions in multiple high-growth Latin American markets, providing diversification and organic growth potential.
  • Operational efficiency improved in 2025, with revenue growth outpacing cost growth and a reduced cost of risk supporting stronger net income.

Considerations

  • Santander’s return on equity and return on assets lag some global peers, suggesting room for improvement in profitability metrics despite recent gains.
  • The stock exhibits higher-than-average volatility and has recently underperformed, with technical indicators pointing to potential further near-term declines.
  • Exposure to emerging markets introduces currency, political, and regulatory risks that could impact earnings consistency and valuation.

Pros

  • Progressive has demonstrated consistent premium growth, leveraging its technology-driven underwriting and claims platform to gain market share in US personal auto insurance.
  • The company’s focus on telematics and usage-based insurance products positions it well for ongoing shifts in consumer behaviour and regulatory trends.
  • Progressive’s disciplined underwriting and robust capital position support industry-leading combined ratios, even during periods of heightened claims frequency.

Considerations

  • Progressive’s earnings are sensitive to natural catastrophe losses and auto claims inflation, which can create volatility in quarterly results.
  • Competitive pressures in the US personal lines market may constrain pricing power and limit margin expansion despite growth in policy count.
  • The company’s reliance on the US market increases vulnerability to domestic regulatory changes and macroeconomic cycles affecting discretionary consumer spending.

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Santander (SAN) Next Earnings Date

Banco Santander's next earnings report is scheduled for February 4, 2026 before market open. This release will cover the company's full-year 2025 results. Based on consensus expectations, analysts anticipate earnings per share of approximately $0.25 for the period. The timing aligns with the bank's typical annual earnings release pattern in early February.

Progressive (PGR) Next Earnings Date

Progressive Corporation is scheduled to report its fourth quarter 2025 earnings on January 28, 2026, before market open. This earnings release will cover the fiscal quarter ending December 31, 2025, and comes just two days from the current date. The company's Q3 2025 earnings, reported in October 2025, showed an EPS of $4.45 against analyst expectations of $5.04, representing a miss of $0.59 per share.

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Frequently asked questions