Rio TintoNewmont

Rio Tinto vs Newmont

Large diversified miner producing iron ore and aluminium vs Global gold producer operating mines across continents. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in September 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Rio Tinto is a diversified mining giant extracting iron ore, copper, aluminum, and other industrial materials at massive scale across multiple continents, while Newmont is the world's largest gold min...

Why It’s Moving

Rio Tinto

Rio Tinto faces fresh commodity pressure as analysts question how much upside remains.

  • RBC maintained an Underperform view on September 16 while raising its assessment, signaling that valuation and execution risks remain important despite Rio Tinto’s diversified portfolio.
  • Rio Tinto and Prysmian announced on September 18 that they will supply lower-carbon aluminum cables for an Amazon data center in Ohio, supporting the company’s strategy of targeting higher-value materials demand linked to electrification and data centers.
  • Iron ore and copper prices weakened during the week as Chinese steel demand remained uncertain despite pre-holiday restocking, pressuring diversified miners and limiting the benefit of stronger copper and aluminum exposure.
Sentiment:
šŸŒ‹Volatile
Newmont

NEM rebounds as Fourmile uncertainty clears, but higher rates keep gold miners volatile.

  • UBS raised its price target to $155 from $120 and kept a Buy rating, while RBC lifted its target to $155 from $135, arguing that the Fourmile agreement improves Newmont’s project visibility and capital-return outlook.
  • Newmont and Barrick’s settlement folds the Fourmile, Fiberline, and Mike properties into Nevada Gold Mines; Newmont will pay $1.95 billion, removing a long-running dispute but creating a near-term cash outflow.
  • Gold recovered toward $4,300 an ounce after the Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike initially pressured bullion, helping gold-mining shares rebound while leaving NEM sensitive to further rate and dollar moves.
Sentiment:
šŸŒ‹Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Rio Tinto has strategically restructured to focus on high-growth sectors: iron ore, aluminium and lithium, and copper, aligning with energy transition trends.
  • The company benefits from rising iron ore prices driven by strong Chinese steel production and supply disruptions in Brazil.
  • Rio Tinto offers a healthy dividend yield around 5.35% supported by strong profitability and a robust balance sheet.

Considerations

  • Its stock currently trades in a low historical percentile indicating elevated risk levels and potential downside.
  • The company faces commodity price volatility and cyclicality, especially linked to iron ore and copper markets affected by global supply dynamics.
  • Technical indicators show mixed signals with some bearish momentum, and recent sentiment is neutral to fearful, limiting short-term upside.

Pros

  • Newmont is viewed as a relatively lower-risk gold mining investment with better risk scores compared to Rio Tinto.
  • The company benefits from gold’s defensive qualities in uncertain macroeconomic environments, supporting stable cash flows.
  • Newmont's good operational performance and strategic positioning give it growth potential amid rising demand for precious metals.

Considerations

  • Newmont’s stock performance is sensitive to gold price fluctuations, which can be negatively impacted by rising interest rates or a strong dollar.
  • The company operates in politically sensitive regions which elevates execution and regulatory risks.
  • Despite favorable risk metrics, Newmont’s sector exposure to precious metals can face cyclical downturns when industrial metals outperform.

Rio Tinto (RIO) Next Earnings Date

Rio Tinto’s next scheduled results release is October 13, 2026. The report is expected to cover the third quarter of fiscal 2026 and will primarily present quarterly operating and production results. This is the next major earnings-related update following the company’s second-quarter results released in late July.

Newmont (NEM) Next Earnings Date

Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) is expected to report its next earnings on October 22, 2026. The release is expected to cover the third quarter of fiscal 2026. The date follows Newmont’s typical late-October reporting pattern, though the company could still confirm the schedule formally.

Buy RIO or NEM in Nemo

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