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Green Plains vs Gevo

This page compares Green Plains Inc and Gevo Inc, detailing how their business models, financial performance, and market context differ. It presents neutral, accessible information to help readers understand each company’s approach and positioning within the industry. By examining strategy, operations, and market factors, the comparison aims to inform without directing actions. Educational content, not financial advice.

This page compares Green Plains Inc and Gevo Inc, detailing how their business models, financial performance, and market context differ. It presents neutral, accessible information to help readers und...

Investment Analysis

Green Plains

GPRE

Pros

Green Plains operates in multiple segments including ethanol production and agribusiness, providing diversified revenue streams within renewable energy.
The company demonstrated positive net income of $11.9 million and EPS of $0.17 in Q3 2025, showing profitability improvement from prior quarters.
Green Plains holds significant CO₂ credit potentials valued at $40-50 million in 2025, which could provide a future revenue boost contingent on regulatory approval.

Considerations

The stock currently trades above analyst price targets, suggesting valuation concerns with a consensus 'Hold' rating and forecasted price decline of around 28% next year.
Recent earnings reports showed continuing negative EPS over the last twelve months and declining revenues by over 10% compared to previous year quarters.
There are accounting concerns related to recognition of carbon credit revenues linked to infrastructure not yet fully operational, raising transparency and risk issues.

Gevo

GEVO

Pros

Gevo focuses on sustainable aviation fuel and renewable chemicals, positioning itself in the growing green energy and decarbonisation market.
The company has secured partnerships and offtake agreements which support revenue visibility and market penetration in biofuels.
Gevo is investing in expanding its production capacity with planned facilities expected to increase output and drive future growth.

Considerations

Gevo has historically operated at a loss and continues to face challenges achieving consistent profitability in a capital-intensive industry.
The business is exposed to commodity price fluctuations and regulatory changes that could impact production costs and market dynamics.
Execution risk remains high due to reliance on scaling new technologies and facilities, which are subject to construction delays and operational uncertainties.

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Frequently asked questions

About The Companies

Green Plains (GPRE)

Green Plains Inc (GPRE) is a US-based producer and processor of corn-derived products, best known for ethanol production and associated co-products such as animal feed and corn oil. With a market capitalisation of approximately $716.5m, the company’s revenue and margins are sensitive to commodity cycles — notably ethanol prices and corn input costs — as well as refinery utilisation and logistics. Policy and regulation in the renewable fuels space (for example renewable fuel standards and credit markets) can materially affect volumes and profitability. Investors should note Green Plains’ capital intensity and exposure to cyclical energy and agricultural markets, and that earnings can be volatile. This summary is for general educational purposes only and not personalised investment advice. Before investing, consider reviewing the company’s latest reports, analyst research and how this stock fits your risk tolerance and portfolio objectives.

Gevo (GEVO)

Gevo Inc (ticker: GEVO) is a renewable fuels and chemicals company focused on producing sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), renewable gasoline, diesel and biochemical feedstocks from renewable electricity and plant sugars. The firm develops integrated biorefineries designed to convert low-carbon feedstocks into liquid hydrocarbons that can replace fossil fuels in hard-to-electrify sectors. With a market capitalisation of roughly $590.09M, Gevo sits in the small-cap space where growth potential coexists with execution and financing risk. Key drivers include commercial rollout of SAF, offtake agreements, regulatory incentives for low-carbon fuels and scale-up of production capacity. Investors should note the business is capital intensive and subject to feedstock availability, commodity cycles, technology scale-up challenges and policy changes. Financial results can be lumpy during expansion phases and equity dilution is a possibility if additional capital is needed. This summary is educational only and not personal investment advice; consider your objectives and risk tolerance and consult a financial adviser before investing.