CitizensCarlyle

Citizens vs Carlyle

Citizens Financial runs a sprawling regional bank with tens of billions in deposits while Carlyle manages alternative assets and earns fees from institutional capital allocators around the globe. Both...

Why It's Moving

Citizens

Wall Street Analysts Pile On CFG with Strong Buy Consensus and Double-Digit Upside Potential.

  • Evercore ISI Group set a $75 target on April 21, implying over 17% upside and highlighting CFG's resilient loan portfolio.
  • DA Davidson and RBC Capital issued bullish notes on April 20 and 17, contributing to a consensus Strong Buy rating from 17-33 analysts across firms.
  • No major earnings or macro shocks in the last week, but broader sector tailwinds from steady rates bolster CFG's appeal over peers.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Citizens Financial Group reported solid Q3 2025 results with EPS growth of 14% to $1.05, beating forecasts and demonstrating consistent profitability.
  • The company holds a strong competitive position, ranking as the top HELOC lender and fourth in middle-market sponsor loan syndications.
  • CFG experienced robust growth in its private banking and wealth franchise, along with record performance in capital markets contributing to revenue improvement.

Considerations

  • Despite beating earnings estimates, the stock experienced notable volatility post-earnings, initially dropping over 6% before recovering.
  • Revenue declined by 5.5% in 2024 compared to 2023, and net income decreased nearly 8%, indicating some recent operational challenges.
  • CFG faces monetary policy uncertainties and moderate macroeconomic headwinds that could influence earnings growth and credit trends.

Pros

  • The Carlyle Group benefits from a diversified and growing alternative asset management platform with strong fundraising and fee-related earnings.
  • Carlyle’s exposure to global private equity and credit markets provides multiple growth drivers amid favorable secular trends in private markets.
  • The firm has demonstrated strong capital deployment capabilities and a consistent track record of realisation and value creation in investments.

Considerations

  • Carlyle’s earnings and asset values are highly sensitive to market volatility and economic cycles, impacting fee income and carried interest.
  • Regulatory scrutiny and potential changes in tax policy could create headwinds for private equity and alternative investment firms like Carlyle.
  • Complex fee structures and reliance on performance fees may introduce earnings unpredictability and investor scrutiny during turbulent markets.

Citizens (CFG) Next Earnings Date

Citizens Financial Group (CFG) reported its Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, 2026, before market open, covering the first quarter ending March 31, 2026. The next earnings release, for Q4 2026 and full-year results, is scheduled for January 15, 2027, at approximately 6:20 a.m. ET, followed by a conference call at 9:00 a.m. ET. This aligns with the company's historical pattern of mid-January reporting for year-end figures.

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CFG
CFG$64.45
vs
CG
CG$47.97