ChevronTotalEnergies

Chevron vs TotalEnergies

Large oil and gas company with refining business vs Integrated energy giant balancing oil and gas with renewables. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in June 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Chevron is one of the world's largest integrated energy companies with upstream production, refining, and a growing LNG footprint, while TotalEnergies is making a more aggressive push into renewables ...

Why It’s Moving

Chevron

Analysts Flag -7% Downside Risk for CVX as Oil Demand Concerns and Valuation Gaps Weigh on Shares

  • Multiple analysts pointed to CVX's current P/E ratio of 10.45 and overbought RSI at 74, suggesting the stock may be priced for perfection with limited upside cushion.
  • Concerns over Chevron's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.148 and low financial distress probability of 8% are being weighed against weakened near-term solvency signals in the energy sector.
  • The consensus price target of $201.88 implies only modest upside from current levels, while recent analyst commentary notes a 33% potential upside scenario hinges on stronger-than-expected oil market conditions."],
  • sentiment_tag":
  • Bearish
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
TotalEnergies

TTE is trading on a cautious analyst backdrop, with consensus pointing to limited upside and a mixed read on energy-sector momentum.

  • Analyst coverage remains mixed, with roughly balanced Buy and Hold calls, which keeps the stock from building a clear directional narrative.
  • Price-target dispersion is wide, signaling uncertainty about how much of the current valuation is already priced in.
  • With no major company-specific news in the last week, the stock appears to be moving more on broader energy-market sentiment and expectations for commodity-driven earnings stability.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Chevron is trading significantly undervalued with a low price-to-free cash flow multiple around 16x, compared to its historical average near 30x.
  • Strong correlation between stock price and book value with a projected fair valuation implying substantial upside from current levels near $130.
  • Robust dividend yield near 4.5% with a total yield approaching 8.9%, supported by solid cash flow generation.

Considerations

  • Chevron’s stock has experienced a maximum drawdown of about 55.77%, indicating susceptibility to significant price declines in volatile markets.
  • The company faces commodity price volatility risks common in the oil and gas sector which can impact earnings unpredictably.
  • Chevron’s growth and valuation multiples are lower compared to some peers, potentially limiting capital gains in a low-growth scenario.

Pros

  • TotalEnergies offers an attractive valuation with a forward P/E of around 8x and EV/EBITDA near 3.8x, below historical averages indicating undervaluation.
  • High return on average capital employed projected at 11.3% for 2025, above sector average, supporting efficient capital use and profitability.
  • Strong dividend yield above 4.5% with a total distribution yield near 12%, underpinned by nearly five decades of consecutive dividend payments.

Considerations

  • TotalEnergies’ stock shows higher volatility at 6.54% compared to Chevron’s 5.06%, implying greater price fluctuation risk.
  • The company has experienced a larger maximum historical drawdown at nearly 60%, reflecting heightened downside risk in adverse conditions.
  • Despite strong fundamentals, recent stock performance has been relatively weak, highlighting potential execution or market perception challenges.

Chevron (CVX) Next Earnings Date

Chevron’s next earnings date is expected around July 30–31, 2026, with several calendars pointing to July 30 or July 31 and others to early August. The report will cover Q2 2026 results. Chevron has not formally confirmed the date yet, so this remains an estimate based on historical reporting patterns.

TotalEnergies (TTE) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for TTE is expected on July 23, 2026. It will cover Q2 2026 results, based on the company’s typical quarterly reporting pattern and recent earnings schedule. The date is an estimate rather than a confirmed announcement, so it may shift slightly.

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Frequently asked questions

CVX
CVX$186.09
vs
TTE
TTE$88.13
Buy CVX