

Cboe Global Markets vs First Citizens BancShares
Global options exchange operator with VIX index licensing vs Regional bank expanding national lending and wealth services. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in June 2026? Plain-English answer below.
Cboe Global Markets operates the world's leading options exchange and owns volatility benchmarks like the VIX that have become industry standards for measuring and trading market risk, while First Citizens BancShares grew dramatically through FDIC-assisted acquisitions and now manages one of the most closely watched bank balance sheets in the country. Both companies benefited from financial market stress in ways most businesses wouldn't, though for very different reasons. Cboe Global Markets vs First Citizens BancShares examines how an exchange operator that earns more when markets get turbulent compares to a bank that captured a distressed asset windfall and is now focused on integration and normalization.
Cboe Global Markets operates the world's leading options exchange and owns volatility benchmarks like the VIX that have become industry standards for measuring and trading market risk, while First Cit...
Why It’s Moving

Cboe is under pressure as analysts flag slower volume growth and stretched valuation
- Morgan Stanley cut its view on Cboe, saying earnings growth could slow as volume growth decelerates and the company prioritizes stability and investment over aggressive cost-cutting.
- Analysts also pointed to valuation concerns, arguing the shares already reflect optimistic growth expectations, which makes the stock more vulnerable if topline momentum cools.
- BofA previously lowered its rating as well, reinforcing the broader concern that weaker volume trends could pressure future earnings estimates and keep sentiment cautious.

FCNCA is drawing mixed analyst attention as investors weigh modest upside against a divided rating picture.
- Analyst consensus remains uneven, with several sources showing a Buy tilt while others land closer to Hold, signaling that confidence exists but conviction is not uniform.
- Price targets cluster around the low- to mid-$2,200s, implying only limited upside from recent trading levels and making valuation the main debate.
- The absence of a major earnings or company-specific headline in the last seven days suggests the stock is being driven more by broader bank-sector sentiment and analyst re-rating than by a new fundamental surprise.

Cboe is under pressure as analysts flag slower volume growth and stretched valuation
- Morgan Stanley cut its view on Cboe, saying earnings growth could slow as volume growth decelerates and the company prioritizes stability and investment over aggressive cost-cutting.
- Analysts also pointed to valuation concerns, arguing the shares already reflect optimistic growth expectations, which makes the stock more vulnerable if topline momentum cools.
- BofA previously lowered its rating as well, reinforcing the broader concern that weaker volume trends could pressure future earnings estimates and keep sentiment cautious.

FCNCA is drawing mixed analyst attention as investors weigh modest upside against a divided rating picture.
- Analyst consensus remains uneven, with several sources showing a Buy tilt while others land closer to Hold, signaling that confidence exists but conviction is not uniform.
- Price targets cluster around the low- to mid-$2,200s, implying only limited upside from recent trading levels and making valuation the main debate.
- The absence of a major earnings or company-specific headline in the last seven days suggests the stock is being driven more by broader bank-sector sentiment and analyst re-rating than by a new fundamental surprise.
Investment Analysis
Pros
- Reported record third-quarter net revenue of $605.5 million, a 14% year-over-year increase driven by strong derivatives markets and data services.
- Achieved record diluted EPS of $2.85 for Q3 2025, up 38% year-over-year, reflecting robust profitability and operational efficiency.
- Raised 2025 organic total net revenue growth guidance to low double-digit to mid-teens, indicating confidence in sustained growth.
Considerations
- Futures net revenues decreased 22% year-over-year due to lower transaction and clearing fees, highlighting a segment weakness.
- Adjusted operating expenses increased by 3% year-over-year, mainly from higher compensation and depreciation, which may pressure margins.
- Global FX net revenues, while growing, remain a small fraction of total revenue, indicating limited diversification outside core markets.
Pros
- First Citizens BancShares reported solid Q3 2025 earnings with balance sheet growth and ongoing share buybacks supporting shareholder returns.
- Diverse revenue sources across general banking, commercial banking, SVB commercial, and rail leasing mitigate exposure to single-sector risks.
- Strong valuation metrics including a low price-to-earnings ratio around 11.6 and reasonable price-to-book near 1.3 suggest potential value.
Considerations
- Moderate trading volumes and mid-growth stock classification may indicate slower appreciation potential compared to high-growth peers.
- Exposure to commercial and specialized lending segments introduces execution and credit risks amid uncertain economic conditions.
- Stock price slightly declined recently despite fundamentals, reflecting market sentiment risks or potential investor concerns.
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for CBOE is expected to be July 31, 2026, based on current market estimates and the company’s historical reporting pattern. The release will cover Q2 2026 results. If the company has not formally announced a date, the window is typically late July to early August 2026.
First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for FCNCA is Friday, July 24, 2026. It is expected to cover Q2 2026 results, based on the company’s typical quarterly reporting cadence. If the company does not formally confirm the date, this is the most commonly estimated timing from recent reporting patterns.
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for CBOE is expected to be July 31, 2026, based on current market estimates and the company’s historical reporting pattern. The release will cover Q2 2026 results. If the company has not formally announced a date, the window is typically late July to early August 2026.
First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for FCNCA is Friday, July 24, 2026. It is expected to cover Q2 2026 results, based on the company’s typical quarterly reporting cadence. If the company does not formally confirm the date, this is the most commonly estimated timing from recent reporting patterns.
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