

Cboe Global Markets vs First Citizens BancShares
Global options exchange operator with VIX index licensing vs Regional bank expanding national lending and wealth services. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in July 2026? Plain-English answer below.
Cboe Global Markets operates the world's leading options exchange and owns volatility benchmarks like the VIX that have become industry standards for measuring and trading market risk, while First Citizens BancShares grew dramatically through FDIC-assisted acquisitions and now manages one of the most closely watched bank balance sheets in the country. Both companies benefited from financial market stress in ways most businesses wouldn't, though for very different reasons. Cboe Global Markets vs First Citizens BancShares examines how an exchange operator that earns more when markets get turbulent compares to a bank that captured a distressed asset windfall and is now focused on integration and normalization.
Cboe Global Markets operates the world's leading options exchange and owns volatility benchmarks like the VIX that have become industry standards for measuring and trading market risk, while First Cit...
Why It’s Moving

Cboe Slides on Downgrade as Cooling Volatility Threatens Its Trading-Volume Boost
- Morgan Stanley downgraded Cboe, arguing that easing market tensions and lower tail risk could cool volatility and reduce demand for index options trading, a key revenue engine for the exchange.
- Analysts also pointed to slowing trading-volume growth and limited room for margin expansion, which raises the risk that earnings growth could lag a still-premium valuation.
- The note adds pressure around capital returns and strategy, with the firm citing less aggressive buybacks and a preference for acquisitions, both of which can weigh on investor enthusiasm when growth is already decelerating.

FCNCA is caught between improving analyst targets and a still-cautious Wall Street tone.
- Analyst sentiment remains mixed, with some recent notes leaning positive on FCNCA while broader consensus data still points to a neutral or hold-leaning view, keeping the stock in a valuation debate rather than a clear trend shift.
- Fresh target revisions from major banks over the past few weeks suggest analysts see room for upside, but the varied ratings imply confidence is still tempered by uncertainty around earnings durability and deposit trends.
- With no major company-specific catalyst in the last 7 days, FCNCA is trading more on the broader regional-bank backdrop, where investors are watching interest-rate expectations, credit quality, and funding costs for clues on margin direction.

Cboe Slides on Downgrade as Cooling Volatility Threatens Its Trading-Volume Boost
- Morgan Stanley downgraded Cboe, arguing that easing market tensions and lower tail risk could cool volatility and reduce demand for index options trading, a key revenue engine for the exchange.
- Analysts also pointed to slowing trading-volume growth and limited room for margin expansion, which raises the risk that earnings growth could lag a still-premium valuation.
- The note adds pressure around capital returns and strategy, with the firm citing less aggressive buybacks and a preference for acquisitions, both of which can weigh on investor enthusiasm when growth is already decelerating.

FCNCA is caught between improving analyst targets and a still-cautious Wall Street tone.
- Analyst sentiment remains mixed, with some recent notes leaning positive on FCNCA while broader consensus data still points to a neutral or hold-leaning view, keeping the stock in a valuation debate rather than a clear trend shift.
- Fresh target revisions from major banks over the past few weeks suggest analysts see room for upside, but the varied ratings imply confidence is still tempered by uncertainty around earnings durability and deposit trends.
- With no major company-specific catalyst in the last 7 days, FCNCA is trading more on the broader regional-bank backdrop, where investors are watching interest-rate expectations, credit quality, and funding costs for clues on margin direction.
Investment Analysis
Pros
- Reported record third-quarter net revenue of $605.5 million, a 14% year-over-year increase driven by strong derivatives markets and data services.
- Achieved record diluted EPS of $2.85 for Q3 2025, up 38% year-over-year, reflecting robust profitability and operational efficiency.
- Raised 2025 organic total net revenue growth guidance to low double-digit to mid-teens, indicating confidence in sustained growth.
Considerations
- Futures net revenues decreased 22% year-over-year due to lower transaction and clearing fees, highlighting a segment weakness.
- Adjusted operating expenses increased by 3% year-over-year, mainly from higher compensation and depreciation, which may pressure margins.
- Global FX net revenues, while growing, remain a small fraction of total revenue, indicating limited diversification outside core markets.
Pros
- First Citizens BancShares reported solid Q3 2025 earnings with balance sheet growth and ongoing share buybacks supporting shareholder returns.
- Diverse revenue sources across general banking, commercial banking, SVB commercial, and rail leasing mitigate exposure to single-sector risks.
- Strong valuation metrics including a low price-to-earnings ratio around 11.6 and reasonable price-to-book near 1.3 suggest potential value.
Considerations
- Moderate trading volumes and mid-growth stock classification may indicate slower appreciation potential compared to high-growth peers.
- Exposure to commercial and specialized lending segments introduces execution and credit risks amid uncertain economic conditions.
- Stock price slightly declined recently despite fundamentals, reflecting market sentiment risks or potential investor concerns.
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Next Earnings Date
Cboe Global Markets’ next earnings release is expected around July 31, 2026, with some calendars placing it in the July 31–August 4, 2026 window. The report will cover Q2 2026. The company has not always announced the exact date far in advance, so this timing is based on its historical earnings pattern.
First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for FCNCA is most commonly estimated for July 23, 2026, though some calendars show August 4, 2026 because the company has not formally confirmed the release date. The report should cover Q2 2026 results, ending June 2026. For an investor briefing, the most defensible read is that FCNCA’s next earnings announcement is expected in late July or early August 2026 based on its historical reporting pattern.
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) Next Earnings Date
Cboe Global Markets’ next earnings release is expected around July 31, 2026, with some calendars placing it in the July 31–August 4, 2026 window. The report will cover Q2 2026. The company has not always announced the exact date far in advance, so this timing is based on its historical earnings pattern.
First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) Next Earnings Date
The next earnings date for FCNCA is most commonly estimated for July 23, 2026, though some calendars show August 4, 2026 because the company has not formally confirmed the release date. The report should cover Q2 2026 results, ending June 2026. For an investor briefing, the most defensible read is that FCNCA’s next earnings announcement is expected in late July or early August 2026 based on its historical reporting pattern.
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