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Casey'sPerformance Food Group

Casey's vs Performance Food Group

This page compares Casey's General Stores, Inc. and Performance Food Group Company, focusing on business models, financial performance, and market context in clear, neutral terms. It presents neutral,...

Why It's Moving

Casey's

Casey's General Stores rides high on analyst upgrades and growth momentum as Q2 earnings loom.

  • Analysts at Stephens hiked their price target to $600 with an overweight rating, signaling confidence in sustained inside sales growth of 3.7% for fiscal 2026.
  • Zacks Consensus earnings estimate rose $1.02 to $17.39 per share after upward revisions, underscoring Casey's appeal as a top growth pick with 18.8% year-over-year earnings expansion.
  • Company set to report Q2 fiscal 2026 results soon, spotlighting synergies from the Fikes acquisition and resilience in grocery and prepared food categories amid steady consumer traffic.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Casey's General Stores consistently delivers revenue and earnings growth, with net income rising nearly 9% in fiscal 2025 and plans to open 80 new locations.
  • The company's small-town-focused business model provides resilience in uncertain economic environments, often outperforming larger peers on operational efficiency.
  • Casey's maintains a long-term track record of compounding shareholder returns, delivering average annual gains above 20% since the late 1980s.

Considerations

  • Casey's heavy reliance on convenience store operations in the Midwestern US exposes it to regional economic cycles and localised competitive pressures.
  • Expansion into new markets requires significant capital investment and carries execution risk as the company scales beyond its core regions.
  • The stock's current valuation reflects much of its recent growth, potentially limiting near-term upside unless earnings surprises persist.

Pros

  • Performance Food Group benefits from scale as a leading foodservice distributor, serving a diverse customer base across multiple industry segments.
  • The company demonstrates solid year-to-date share price performance, indicating operational execution and market confidence in its growth trajectory.
  • Diversification across foodservice channels helps mitigate reliance on any single customer or sector, supporting stable cash flows.

Considerations

  • Exposure to foodservice industry cycles means Performance Food Group faces headwinds during downturns in restaurant and institutional demand.
  • Thin profit margins are typical in food distribution, limiting operating leverage and making cost control critical to maintaining profitability.
  • Potential supply chain disruptions and food commodity price volatility add uncertainty to earnings forecasts and operational stability.

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Casey's (CASY) Next Earnings Date

Casey's General Stores (CASY) next earnings date is estimated for March 10, 2026, covering the third quarter of fiscal 2026 (Q3 2026). This date aligns with the company's historical reporting patterns following the prior Q2 2026 release on December 10, 2025, though it remains unconfirmed by the company. Investors should monitor official announcements for any updates to this estimate.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Convenience & Cravings Portfolio

Convenience & Cravings Portfolio

Discover a collection of companies mastering the art of on-demand satisfaction. These stocks represent market leaders in fast food, quick-service, and convenience retail, expertly selected by our analysts for their strong brands and consistent customer demand.

Published: June 17, 2025

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