ASMLApplied Materials

ASML vs Applied Materials

Leading supplier of advanced chip manufacturing equipment vs Leading equipment provider for chip and display manufacturing. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in September 2026? Plain-English answer below.

ASML holds a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet lithography machines, making it the unavoidable bottleneck in advanced chip manufacturing, while Applied Materials supplies a broader suite of deposit...

Why It’s Moving

ASML

ASML Analysts Flag Downside Risk Despite Strong AI Demand and Buyback Activity

  • A new ETF focused on AI chipmaking equipment launches this week, underscoring investor interest in the machinery behind artificial intelligence rather than just chip designers.
  • ASML reports a 31.8% year-over-year surge in Installed Base Management sales, driven by upgrades to its growing EUV fleet, though sustaining this growth depends on future customer demand.
  • The company continues transactions under its current share buyback program, signaling management's confidence in returning capital to shareholders amidst volatile market sentiment.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
Applied Materials

AMAT Shares Defy AI Slowdown Fears as Analysts Cite Valuation Correction and Strong Fundamentals

  • A rating upgrade highlights that while valuation has corrected, fundamentals have strengthened, with Q3 revenue up 25% year-over-year and robust Q4 guidance implying 51% year-over-year growth.
  • Profitability metrics are improving significantly, with Q3 gross margins expanding by 150 basis points and operating margins expected to rise 640 basis points year-over-year in Q4 due to strong cost control.
  • The stock recently outperformed the broader semiconductor group during a tech sell-off triggered by calls for an AI slowdown, gaining 4% as investors concentrated buying on equipment makers rather than chip designers.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

ASML

ASML

ASML

Pros

  • ASML holds 90% market share in lithography, particularly EUV technology essential for advanced chips.
  • Strong ties with top customers TSMC, Samsung and Intel ensure long-term revenue stability.
  • Past decade revenue growth outpaces peers, driven by lithography demand in next-gen nodes.

Considerations

  • Gross margins expected to decline to 50-52% in Q3 due to High NA system revenues and fewer upgrades.
  • Higher valuation metrics including P/E of 40 and P/S of 11.67 compared to diversified peers.
  • Narrow focus on lithography exposes it more to industry cycle fluctuations than broader competitors.

Pros

  • Diversified portfolio across deposition, etching and metrology provides exposure to multiple chip production stages.
  • Advanced node revenues exceeded $2.5 billion in fiscal 2024, projected to double in 2025 from AI demand.
  • Stronger near-term earnings stability and lower valuation enhance resilience amid sector volatility.

Considerations

  • Recent quarterly sales declined 3.48% year-over-year, lagging behind some industry peers.
  • Slower long-term growth trajectory compared to lithography specialists like ASML over the past decade.
  • Higher total debt at $6.76 billion relative to cash reserves limits financial flexibility.

ASML (ASML) Next Earnings Date

ASML is scheduled to report its next earnings on October 14, 2026. The report will cover the company’s fiscal third quarter of 2026. The release is expected before the U.S. market open, consistent with the company’s recent reporting schedule.

Applied Materials (AMAT) Next Earnings Date

Applied Materials (AMAT) is expected to report its next earnings on November 12, 2026, after the U.S. market close. The report will cover the company’s fiscal fourth quarter of 2026. The date is consistent with its historical pattern of releasing fiscal fourth-quarter results in November.

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