

AngloGold Ashanti vs ArcelorMittal
AngloGold Ashanti mines gold from operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, with production costs and capital needs that shift significantly with ore grades and local operating conditions, while ArcelorMittal steelworks its way through commodity cycles as the world's largest integrated steel producer. Both companies are capital-intensive miners of essential metals, and both carry balance sheets that have required significant deleveraging over the past decade. AngloGold Ashanti vs ArcelorMittal dissects how all-in sustaining costs, steel spread compression, and free cash flow generation separate a gold miner from a steel giant navigating oversupply and decarbonization pressures.
AngloGold Ashanti mines gold from operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, with production costs and capital needs that shift significantly with ore grades and local operating conditions...
Why It's Moving

AU Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -53% Downside Risk
- Macquarie analysts recently slapped an underperform rating on AU, implying over 50% downside from current levels due to stretched valuations and margin pressures.
- TipRanks data from the past three months shows six analysts leaning bearish, with 12-month targets signaling -53% potential drop on weak earnings momentum.
- Gold sector volatility and downside risk to production costs are amplifying investor jitters, as consensus views the stock as primed for a sharp correction.

MT Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -27% Downside Risk
- Analysts cite China's record steel exports overwhelming markets, squeezing MT's pricing power and margins in key regions.
- Recent U.S. construction data missed forecasts, signaling softer infrastructure demand that hits MT's North American volumes hard.
- Rising raw material costs without corresponding price hikes expose MT to earnings erosion, prompting the steep downside revisions.

AU Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -53% Downside Risk
- Macquarie analysts recently slapped an underperform rating on AU, implying over 50% downside from current levels due to stretched valuations and margin pressures.
- TipRanks data from the past three months shows six analysts leaning bearish, with 12-month targets signaling -53% potential drop on weak earnings momentum.
- Gold sector volatility and downside risk to production costs are amplifying investor jitters, as consensus views the stock as primed for a sharp correction.

MT Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -27% Downside Risk
- Analysts cite China's record steel exports overwhelming markets, squeezing MT's pricing power and margins in key regions.
- Recent U.S. construction data missed forecasts, signaling softer infrastructure demand that hits MT's North American volumes hard.
- Rising raw material costs without corresponding price hikes expose MT to earnings erosion, prompting the steep downside revisions.
Investment Analysis
Pros
- Gold price surge and strong production growth have driven a 149% year-on-year increase in free cash flow for Q2 2025.
- The company is on track to meet its 2025 production targets, with guidance suggesting 9-21% year-on-year growth in output.
- AngloGold Ashanti trades at a forward earnings multiple below the industry average, offering relative valuation appeal.
Considerations
- Operating costs and all-in sustaining costs have risen, with 2025 projections indicating higher expenses per ounce of gold.
- Analyst price targets suggest limited upside, with some forecasts indicating a potential decline from current levels.
- The stock's performance is highly sensitive to gold price volatility, which could impact future earnings and cash flow.
Pros
- ArcelorMittal maintains a significant market capitalisation, reflecting its position as a major global steel producer.
- The company has shown recent share price recovery, with a 17% increase over one month as of September 2025.
- ArcelorMittal remains one of the most actively traded stocks on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange, indicating strong liquidity.
Considerations
- The share price has declined by 18.7% year-to-date, underperforming broader market indices and reflecting sector headwinds.
- Steel industry cyclicality exposes ArcelorMittal to macroeconomic downturns and fluctuating raw material prices.
- Recent financial performance has been pressured by weak demand and margin compression in key global markets.
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Next Earnings Date
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is expected to report its next earnings on May 8, 2026, before market open, covering the first quarter of 2026. This date follows the company's recent Q4 2025 release on February 20, 2026, aligning with its typical quarterly reporting cadence. Investors should monitor for official confirmation from the company.
ArcelorMittal (MT) Next Earnings Date
ArcelorMittal (MT) is expected to report its next earnings on April 30, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 results following the prior release on February 5, 2026. This date aligns with the company's historical quarterly pattern, typically announcing shortly after quarter-end. Investors should monitor for official confirmation from the company.
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) Next Earnings Date
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is expected to report its next earnings on May 8, 2026, before market open, covering the first quarter of 2026. This date follows the company's recent Q4 2025 release on February 20, 2026, aligning with its typical quarterly reporting cadence. Investors should monitor for official confirmation from the company.
ArcelorMittal (MT) Next Earnings Date
ArcelorMittal (MT) is expected to report its next earnings on April 30, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 results following the prior release on February 5, 2026. This date aligns with the company's historical quarterly pattern, typically announcing shortly after quarter-end. Investors should monitor for official confirmation from the company.
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