TSMCOracle

TSMC vs Oracle

TSMC vs Oracle: This page compares business models, financial performance, and market context to outline how both companies operate and compete. It presents neutral, accessible information about strat...

Why It's Moving

TSMC

TSMC's November revenue surges 24.5% year-over-year, fueled by unrelenting AI chip demand from Nvidia and Big Tech.

  • November revenue jumped 24.5% YoY to NT$343.61 billion, signaling explosive demand for AI accelerators even as it dipped 6.5% from October's peak.
  • TSMC is ramping 2nm production and CoWoS packaging to meet overwhelming orders from Nvidia and hyperscalers, unlocking fresh capacity amid supply constraints.
  • Q4 revenue outlook of $32.2B-$33.4B tops consensus, with gross margins eyed at 59-61%, reinforcing AI-driven profitability momentum.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish
Oracle

Oracle Stock Plunges 14% Post-Earnings Despite Revenue Beat, as AI Hype Meets Heavy Capex Reality

  • Revenue grew 14% with strong cloud momentum signaling robust AI infrastructure demand, yet fell short of elevated expectations, sparking a selloff.
  • Raised FY2026 capex outlook by $15B to $50B total, underscoring the heavy investments needed to scale high-margin AI data centers amid ongoing cash burn.
  • Heavy put option trading and IV crush post-earnings suggest traders are harvesting premiums rather than piling into further downside, with conference call eyed for guidance clarity.
Sentiment:
๐ŸปBearish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

AI Infrastructure Stocks (Nvidia's $100B Project)

AI Infrastructure Stocks (Nvidia's $100B Project)

Nvidia is investing up to $100 billion to build massive AI data centers for OpenAI, signaling a new era of large-scale AI infrastructure. This monumental project creates a significant opportunity for companies that provide the essential components and services for data center construction and operation.

Published: September 25, 2025

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Insider Confidence: What's Next for Stock Moves?

Insider Confidence: What's Next for Stock Moves?

Tesla CEO Elon Musk's recent $1 billion stock purchase has boosted investor confidence, causing the share price to surge. This highlights a potential investment strategy focusing on companies where significant insider buying signals strong leadership conviction in future growth.

Published: September 16, 2025

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Investment Analysis

TSMC

TSMC

TSM

Pros

  • Global leader in semiconductor foundry services with dominant market share, critical supplier to major technology firms across industries.
  • Revenue grew over 40% year-on-year in recent quarters, reflecting robust demand for advanced chips, especially in AI and high-performance computing.
  • Strong balance sheet with low debt-to-equity ratio and high profitability, delivering industry-leading net margins above 40%.

Considerations

  • Heavy reliance on geopolitical stability in Taiwan, exposing operations to regional tensions and potential supply chain disruption risks.
  • Capital expenditure requirements remain very high, necessitating ongoing multi-billion-dollar investments to maintain technological leadership.
  • Valuation multiples are elevated relative to historical levels, potentially limiting near-term upside if growth slows or margins compress.
Oracle

Oracle

ORCL

Pros

  • Diversified global provider of enterprise software and cloud infrastructure, with stable, recurring revenue streams from long-term customer contracts.
  • Growing cloud revenue and strategic acquisitions bolster competitive position in hybrid and multi-cloud IT environments.
  • Consistent cash flow generation supports share buybacks, dividends, and continued investment in innovation and expansion.

Considerations

  • Slower organic growth compared to pure-play cloud peers, with legacy on-premises software still a significant portion of the business.
  • Intense competition in cloud services from larger rivals pressures pricing and requires ongoing heavy investment to remain relevant.
  • Exposure to currency fluctuations and global macroeconomic cycles, which can impact multinational revenue and profitability.

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