TerniumGerdau

Ternium vs Gerdau

This page compares Ternium S.A. and Gerdau S.A. to illuminate differences in business models, financial performance, and market context. It provides objective, accessible information to help readers u...

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Mexico Tariffs: What's Next for Local Industry?

Mexico Tariffs: What's Next for Local Industry?

Mexico is raising tariffs on Chinese imports to protect its local industries from foreign competition. This shift creates an advantage for Mexican domestic manufacturers, who are now better positioned to capture a larger share of their home market.

Published: September 12, 2025

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China's Manufacturing Rebound

China's Manufacturing Rebound

Early signs of recovery in China's manufacturing sector are creating investment opportunities. This collection features carefully selected companies positioned to benefit as the world's largest manufacturing economy starts to stabilize and grow again.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Japan's Tariff-Driven Supply Chain Shift

Japan's Tariff-Driven Supply Chain Shift

As US tariffs threaten Japanese exports, manufacturers are looking to relocate production to tariff-friendly countries like Mexico and Canada. This carefully selected group of stocks represents companies positioned to benefit from this major supply chain realignment.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Mexico's Economic Turnaround

Mexico's Economic Turnaround

A carefully curated selection of companies poised to benefit from Mexico's improving economic stability. Professional investors have identified these stocks based on their potential to capitalize on a stronger peso, increased foreign investment, and rising domestic demand.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Mexico's Export Boom

Mexico's Export Boom

Mexico's surprising trade surplus signals a major economic shift, creating exciting investment opportunities. This collection features carefully selected companies positioned to benefit from the growing trend of nearshoring and Mexico's expanding role as North America's manufacturing powerhouse.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Mexico's Stable Rise

Mexico's Stable Rise

Mexico's economy is showing impressive signs of stability with a narrowing current account deficit. This collection features companies set to thrive from a potentially stronger peso, increased consumer spending, and renewed investor confidence in Mexico's economic future.

Published: June 30, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Ternium operates a diversified business with steel manufacturing, mining, and services segments across Latin America and internationally, supporting operational flexibility.
  • The company has a broad product portfolio including slabs, hot and cold rolled, coated products, tubular goods, and construction-related steel items, enabling market reach.
  • Ternium maintains a presence in multiple steel value chains, including automotive and civil construction sectors, which supports demand stability.

Considerations

  • Ternium's profitability metrics, such as net margin and return on equity, are lower compared to Gerdau, indicating comparatively weaker efficiency.
  • The company faces uncertainty related to evolving trade policies in the U.S. that may suppress volume growth and complicate investment decisions.
  • Its net income saw a significant decline of 57 percent in Q1 2025 compared to the prior year, reflecting operational challenges in the current market environment.

Pros

  • Gerdau demonstrates stronger profitability than Ternium with higher net margins, return on equity, and return on assets noted in recent financials.
  • Geographical diversification with significant operations in Brazil, North America, and Latin America helps mitigate regional market volatility risks.
  • The company benefits from its focus on recycled-content electric arc furnace (EAF) steel production and scrap recycling, which aligns with sustainability trends.

Considerations

  • Gerdau's net income declined 39 percent year-over-year in Q1 2025 despite sequential improvement, signaling ongoing operational pressures.
  • Despite higher revenues, Gerdau's return on equity is still modest relative to some industry peers and its own historical averages.
  • The stock has experienced price depreciation recently, with forecasts indicating potential declines over the next year, reflecting market uncertainties.

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