Rio TintoNewmont

Rio Tinto vs Newmont

Rio Tinto and Newmont are presented here to compare their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. The page highlights how each company operates within ...

Why It's Moving

Rio Tinto

Rio Tinto Stock Charges to New 52-Week High Amid Strong Commodity Momentum.

  • Shares hit a record high of $75.69, up over 34% year-to-date, trading well above 50-day and 200-day moving averages to signal building upward momentum.
  • Q3 production soared with record bauxite output and 9% higher copper equivalent production year-over-year, positioning Rio Tinto to meet upper-end annual guidance.
  • Strategic moves like a 40% cut at Yarwun refinery to extend life and a 15-year renewable energy deal underscore efficiency and sustainability efforts boosting investor confidence.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish
Newmont

Newmont shares surge amid strong technical momentum and dividend payout ahead.

  • Stock gained in 7 of last 10 days, up 9.35% over two weeks with 29 million shares tradedโ€”nearly double the prior dayโ€”indicating building bullish momentum.
  • Q3 delivered 1.42M gold ounces produced, $1.6B record free cash flow, and $640M from asset sales, enabling $2B debt reduction to near-zero net debt.
  • Board affirmed $0.25 dividend for Q3, payable Dec 22, underscoring commitment to shareholder returns despite ongoing divestitures like the Coffee Project sale.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Rio Tinto has strategically restructured to focus on high-growth sectors: iron ore, aluminium and lithium, and copper, aligning with energy transition trends.
  • The company benefits from rising iron ore prices driven by strong Chinese steel production and supply disruptions in Brazil.
  • Rio Tinto offers a healthy dividend yield around 5.35% supported by strong profitability and a robust balance sheet.

Considerations

  • Its stock currently trades in a low historical percentile indicating elevated risk levels and potential downside.
  • The company faces commodity price volatility and cyclicality, especially linked to iron ore and copper markets affected by global supply dynamics.
  • Technical indicators show mixed signals with some bearish momentum, and recent sentiment is neutral to fearful, limiting short-term upside.

Pros

  • Newmont is viewed as a relatively lower-risk gold mining investment with better risk scores compared to Rio Tinto.
  • The company benefits from goldโ€™s defensive qualities in uncertain macroeconomic environments, supporting stable cash flows.
  • Newmont's good operational performance and strategic positioning give it growth potential amid rising demand for precious metals.

Considerations

  • Newmontโ€™s stock performance is sensitive to gold price fluctuations, which can be negatively impacted by rising interest rates or a strong dollar.
  • The company operates in politically sensitive regions which elevates execution and regulatory risks.
  • Despite favorable risk metrics, Newmontโ€™s sector exposure to precious metals can face cyclical downturns when industrial metals outperform.

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