MondelezColgate-Palmolive

Mondelez vs Colgate-Palmolive

Mondelez and Colgate-Palmolive are presented on this page to compare their business models, financial performance, and market context. The analysis focuses on how each company creates value across its...

Why It's Moving

Mondelez

Cocoa Price Plunge Sparks Relief Rally for Mondelez as Snack Giant Battles Input Cost Squeeze

  • Cocoa futures tumbled over 5% this week to 1.75-year lows, offering hope for Mondelez's battered gross margins that plunged 1,010 basis points in Q3 2025 amid extreme cost inflation.
  • Q3 results showed organic net revenue up 3.4% despite volume headwinds, with updated 2025 guidance holding organic growth at 4%+ and free cash flow over $3B.
  • Year-to-date, Mondelez generated $2.1B in operating cash flow and returned $3.7B to shareholders, underscoring financial strength as input costs finally ease.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Colgate-Palmolive

Colgate-Palmolive dips amid consumer staples caution as options volatility signals choppy trading ahead.

  • Stock fell from $77.74 to $77.25 on Thursday, continuing a pattern of recent declines with lower trading volume hinting at fading momentum.
  • Implied volatility spiked for Dec. 19 $35 calls, alerting traders to potential sharp moves amid Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) and five downward EPS estimate cuts to $0.92.
  • Q2 organic sales grew 1.8% via innovation in oral care and pet nutrition, though full-year guidance trimmed to low-end 2-4% due to pet sales exits and macro headwinds.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Mondelez has strong pricing power and strategic cost controls, including efficient cocoa sourcing adjustments to manage tariff impacts.
  • It is positioned for sustained long-term growth by expanding in emerging markets and shifting towards healthier product options.
  • The company has scale advantages that support profitability even amid commodity cost volatility and inflation pressures.

Considerations

  • Recent Q3 2025 results showed a revenue shortfall and margin pressure from historically high cocoa costs, causing a negative market reaction.
  • Its stock price has declined significantly over the past year, reflecting concerns about ongoing cost inflation and macroeconomic risks.
  • Sensitivity to commodity and tariff fluctuations poses risks to supply chain stability and profit margins, creating uncertainty.

Pros

  • Colgate-Palmolive maintains a broad, well-established global brand presence with a diversified product portfolio in oral care and personal products.
  • The company benefits from relatively stable demand and less commodity cost volatility compared to food-focused peers.
  • It has demonstrated consistent profitability with efficient cost management and resilient cash flow generation.

Considerations

  • Colgate-Palmolive has experienced stock underperformance compared to peers, impacted by modest organic growth challenges.
  • Growth prospects may be limited by mature market exposure and competitive intensity in key categories like oral care.
  • The company faces execution risks related to innovation pace and evolving consumer preferences in a crowded personal care market.

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