Marathon PetroleumKinder Morgan

Marathon Petroleum vs Kinder Morgan

Marathon Petroleum vs Kinder Morgan: this page compares their business models, financial performance, and market context to help you understand how each operates within the energy sector. It presents ...

Why It's Moving

Marathon Petroleum

Marathon Petroleum powers through Q3 with robust cash flow and strategic midstream growth despite refining headwinds.

  • Refining & Marketing adjusted EBITDA hit $1.76 billion, bolstered by $427 million ethanol JV sale and $484 million BANGL acquisition gain, offsetting Gulf Coast and West Coast margin pressures.
  • MPLX to deliver $2.8 billion annualized distributions to MPC, funding dividends, capex, and extra capital allocation—a standout edge in energy.
  • Midstream expansions like Traverse Pipeline and Gulf Coast Fractionators ramp up Permian-to-Gulf value chain, tapping rising producer demand for long-term growth.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Kinder Morgan

Kinder Morgan Projects Strong Growth Through 2026 Despite Recent Market Dip.

  • 2025 Adjusted EPS projected at $1.27, up 10% year-over-year, with 2026 expectations rising to $1.37, an 8% increase, underscoring resilient earnings momentum.
  • Committed projects worth $8.1 billion and strong cash flows—$5.9 billion CFFO forecasted for 2025—bolster growth outlook in natural gas transmission, handling 40% of U.S. production.
  • Plans eighth straight dividend hike after 64% total shareholder return since 2016, reinforcing commitment to returning value while maintaining a solid BBB balance sheet.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Fueling Profits: Beneficiaries Of OPEC+ Production Policy

Fueling Profits: Beneficiaries Of OPEC+ Production Policy

OPEC+ is expected to maintain its policy of gradually increasing oil production, aiming to stabilize global energy markets. This could lead to moderated fuel costs, creating a potential advantage for companies in sectors like transportation and manufacturing where fuel is a major expense.

Published: July 25, 2025

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Oil & Gas

Oil & Gas

Fuel up with investment opportunities in the energy markets. This collection features carefully selected stocks from industry giants and innovators, chosen by professional analysts for their potential in the growing $6.93 trillion global oil and gas market.

Published: May 15, 2025

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Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Marathon Petroleum reported strong revenue growth in Q3 2025, exceeding forecasts and reflecting robust operational performance.
  • The company maintains a high refinery utilization rate and processes a large volume of crude oil daily, supporting its downstream market position.
  • Marathon increased its dividend by 10% and returned significant capital to shareholders, indicating confidence in its cash flow and financial health.

Considerations

  • Adjusted EPS for Q3 2025 missed analyst expectations, raising concerns about profitability despite strong revenue.
  • The stock price declined following the earnings miss, reflecting investor sensitivity to earnings performance and margin pressures.
  • Refining margins face risks from volatile crude oil prices and changing demand, which could impact future earnings stability.

Pros

  • Kinder Morgan operates a large, diversified network of energy infrastructure assets, providing stable cash flows from long-term contracts.
  • The company has a history of consistent dividend payments and has demonstrated resilience in volatile energy markets.
  • Kinder Morgan benefits from low exposure to commodity price swings due to its fee-based business model.

Considerations

  • Revenue growth has been modest, with limited upside from new projects and constrained expansion opportunities in the midstream sector.
  • The stock has underperformed compared to broader energy peers, reflecting investor caution over sector outlook and growth prospects.
  • Regulatory and environmental risks remain elevated for pipeline operators, potentially affecting future project approvals and costs.

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