ExxonMobil vs ConocoPhillips
ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips are examined side by side on this page to compare business models, financial performance, and market context. The comparison provides neutral, accessible information about how the two companies approach energy markets, operations, and strategy. Educational content, not financial advice.
ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips are examined side by side on this page to compare business models, financial performance, and market context. The comparison provides neutral, accessible information abou...
Why It's Moving
ExxonMobil Powers Ahead with Q3 Earnings Strength and Dividend Boost Amid Energy Sector Resilience
- Q3 earnings hit $7.5 billion with $14.8 billion in operating cash flow, offsetting weaker crude and chemical margins through Permian and Guyana volume gains and cost savings.
- Fourth-quarter dividend rose 4% to $1.03 per share, returning $9.4 billion to shareholders in Q3 and highlighting financial discipline.
- Advanced eight of 10 key 2025 projects on track, plus $20B low-carbon push through 2030 in CCS and hydrogen, aligning with faster-than-expected emissions cuts.
ConocoPhillips Faces Analyst Downgrade Amid Solid Q3 Momentum and Bullish Long-Term Outlook
- Q3 production hit 2,399 MBOED, up 4% organically, with raised full-year guidance to 2.375 MMBOED and lowered costs to $10.6 billion, underscoring efficient growth.[3]
- Dividend increased 8% quarterly, with $2.2 billion returned to shareholders including $1.3 billion in buybacks, reinforcing capital discipline.[3]
- Johnson Rice downgraded to Hold on Dec 5, trimming PT to $105, countering 18 Buy ratings averaging $115+ targets for 30%+ upside, highlighting mixed sector sentiment.[1][2][5]
ExxonMobil Powers Ahead with Q3 Earnings Strength and Dividend Boost Amid Energy Sector Resilience
- Q3 earnings hit $7.5 billion with $14.8 billion in operating cash flow, offsetting weaker crude and chemical margins through Permian and Guyana volume gains and cost savings.
- Fourth-quarter dividend rose 4% to $1.03 per share, returning $9.4 billion to shareholders in Q3 and highlighting financial discipline.
- Advanced eight of 10 key 2025 projects on track, plus $20B low-carbon push through 2030 in CCS and hydrogen, aligning with faster-than-expected emissions cuts.
ConocoPhillips Faces Analyst Downgrade Amid Solid Q3 Momentum and Bullish Long-Term Outlook
- Q3 production hit 2,399 MBOED, up 4% organically, with raised full-year guidance to 2.375 MMBOED and lowered costs to $10.6 billion, underscoring efficient growth.[3]
- Dividend increased 8% quarterly, with $2.2 billion returned to shareholders including $1.3 billion in buybacks, reinforcing capital discipline.[3]
- Johnson Rice downgraded to Hold on Dec 5, trimming PT to $105, countering 18 Buy ratings averaging $115+ targets for 30%+ upside, highlighting mixed sector sentiment.[1][2][5]
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
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Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
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The Fed's key inflation gauge remains stubbornly high, signaling that elevated price levels may persist for longer than expected. This creates an investment opportunity in companies that can thrive in an inflationary environment, such as those with the ability to raise prices or benefit from higher interest rates.
Published: September 27, 2025
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OPEC+'s decision to increase oil production is set to lower global prices, pressuring U.S. shale producers while defending its own market share. This scenario creates a potential investment opportunity in fuel-dependent sectors like transportation and manufacturing that stand to gain from reduced energy costs.
Published: September 9, 2025
Explore BasketOil's Ascent
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Published: July 1, 2025
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Published: July 1, 2025
Explore BasketTrump's 'Big Beautiful Bill' Beneficiaries
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Published: May 15, 2025
Explore BasketInvestment Analysis
ExxonMobil
XOM
Pros
- ExxonMobil has a significantly lower debt-to-capital ratio of 12.6%, indicating stronger financial stability compared to peers.
- It operates as a diversified integrated energy company, with upstream, downstream, and chemical businesses, reducing exposure to commodity price volatility.
- Recent acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources strengthens its presence in prolific shale plays like the Permian Basin, enhancing long-term growth potential.
Considerations
- ExxonMobil’s stock price has slightly declined by about 1.1% over the past year, reflecting some market headwinds.
- The company faces the risk of declining oil prices, with forecasts of lower West Texas Intermediate crude prices potentially impacting earnings.
- Its valuation is at a premium with a trailing EV/EBITDA of 7.19x, which might limit upside compared to lower-valued competitors.
Pros
- ConocoPhillips has a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-capital ratio at 26.4% but maintains solid cash flow generation and capital discipline.
- It has a concentrated upstream focus on large shale assets, including the Eagle Ford, Bakken, and Permian Basin, providing substantial production growth opportunities.
- The company offers a dividend yield of 3.3% and actively returns capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
Considerations
- ConocoPhillips’ stock is more volatile with a higher historical drawdown and greater price fluctuations than integrated competitors.
- Its stock price has declined around 11.8% over the past year, underperforming the integrated oil sector.
- Shares trade at a lower valuation (EV/EBITDA of 5.20x), reflecting market skepticism partly due to increased capital intensity and integration risks from recent acquisitions.
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