The Usual Suspects Are Cleaning Up
This brings me to the companies that are, in my view, the shrewdest way to approach this trend. Think of it like a gold rush. You can gamble on a prospector finding a nugget, or you can sell shovels to every single person heading for the hills. I know which business I’d rather be in.
Firms like MasterCard and Visa are the ultimate shovel sellers. They’ve spent decades and billions building the payment rails that the world runs on. Now, as Brazil goes digital, they are simply extending their networks to capture a torrent of new transaction volume. Their fraud detection systems and established relationships with banks make them indispensable. They don’t need to reinvent themselves, they just need to be themselves in a new, rapidly growing market.
Then you have the data merchants, like Equifax. In a world of instant digital loans, someone has to decide who is a good bet and who isn’t. That requires data, and lots of it. Equifax provides the analytical engine that allows lenders to make those calls in seconds. As Brazil’s open finance regulations force banks to share data, the demand for sophisticated credit analytics could soar.