The Landlord with an Unbreakable Lease
Think about the core business of a private prison operator. At its heart, it’s a remarkably simple model. These companies are essentially landlords, and their primary tenant is the government. They get paid a set rate, per person, per day, to provide a service that society, for better or worse, has deemed essential. This isn't a business that relies on fickle consumer trends or the latest tech fad. It relies on government budgets, which, when it comes to public safety, are notoriously stubborn and rarely shrink, even when the rest of the economy is taking a nosedive.
While other companies are worrying about whether people will buy new cars or fancy coffee this year, these firms are looking at multi-year contracts backed by the full faith and credit of the state. It’s a level of revenue predictability that most chief executives can only dream of. It might not be glamorous, but during a recession, I’d argue that boring and predictable can be rather beautiful.