The Shrewd Investor’s Play
When a gold rush happens, you can bet on a single miner striking it rich, or you can sell the picks and shovels to all of them. To me, the latter has always seemed the more sensible approach. In this tech revival, the PC manufacturers like Lenovo and Dell are the miners, but the real leverage could lie with the companies supplying the components. They are the ones selling the picks and shovels.
The hardware supply chain is a fascinating beast. When demand picks up, the effect is amplified for suppliers. A PC maker might increase its orders by 20 percent, but the semiconductor firm supplying them sees a flood of orders from every manufacturer at once. It’s a powerful multiplier effect. This is the logic that underpins investment themes like the Powering The PC Resurgence basket, which focuses on the engine room of the industry rather than just the shiny finished product.
Of course, no investment is without risk. The tech hardware market is notoriously cyclical, and what goes up can certainly come down. Competition is fierce, and geopolitical squabbles over who makes what and where can throw a spanner in the works at a moment's notice. But the fundamental drivers here, AI integration and the permanence of hybrid working, feel less like a temporary surge and more like a lasting shift. The game has changed, and the hardware needs to catch up.