The Inherent Gamble of Staying Relevant
Of course, let’s not get carried away. Investing in the business of ‘cool’ is not without its perils. Culture is a fickle beast. What is celebrated today can easily become tomorrow’s embarrassing relic. I’m sure we can all think of brands that were once the height of fashion and are now gathering dust in the bargain bin.
Companies that trade on their cultural capital are on a relentless treadmill. They must constantly innovate and anticipate the next big shift, which requires a great deal of investment in talent and technology, with no guarantee of success. Furthermore, when economic times get tough, these discretionary, culture driven purchases are often the first things people cut from their budgets. The risk is real, and any potential reward must be weighed against the very real possibility that the trend simply moves on. For an investor, the key might be to look for companies that have proven they can surf these cultural waves time and again, rather than just riding one to the shore. It's about spotting the difference between a one hit wonder and a true cultural institution, a collection you might find in the Cultural Tastemakers basket.