Southern CopperNewmont

Southern Copper vs Newmont

This page compares the business models, financial performance, and market context of Southern Copper and Newmont, offering clear, accessible insight into how each company operates, creates value, and ...

Why It's Moving

Southern Copper

SCCO Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -33% Downside Risk

  • Weekly charts show bearish patterns with prices dropping from $190 highs to $182.62 closes, facing resistance at $184 and reduced buying volume signaling trader caution.
  • Stock suffered a steeper -5.77% plunge to $206.23 versus broader market losses, underperforming amid broader materials sector jitters.
  • Premium Forward P/E of 33.31 above industry average hints at overvaluation risks, even as upcoming earnings project strong EPS growth of 58% year-over-year.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Newmont

Newmont Stock Shows Resilience Despite Analyst Caution as Gold Mining Fundamentals Strengthen

  • Recent quarterly results showed earnings of $2.52 per share, significantly exceeding analyst consensus of $1.81, alongside revenue of $6.82 billion that beat expectations by $1.2 billion, demonstrating operational excellence in a recovering gold market
  • The gold mining sector itself has gained 4.6% over the past month, outpacing the S&P 500's decline, with Newmont benefiting from elevated gold prices and investor appetite for precious metals in uncertain economic conditions
  • Analyst sentiment remains constructive with a consensus "Buy" rating and $134.15 price target, though recent downgrades—including TD Securities reducing its target from $120 to $118—reflect profit-taking concerns and warrant cautious positioning among near-term traders
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Southern Copper benefits from leading cost efficiency and scale in copper production, sustaining high margins even amid volatile metal prices.
  • The company maintains a geographically concentrated asset base in politically stable mining regions, supporting operational consistency and lower jurisdictional risk.
  • Southern Copper offers a reliable dividend, with a recently announced payout and a history of returning capital to shareholders.

Considerations

  • Southern Copper’s earnings are heavily tied to copper prices, exposing it to significant cyclical and macroeconomic volatility.
  • Analyst sentiment is cautious, with average ratings at 'Hold' and price targets implying potential near-term downside from current levels.
  • The company faces elevated political and regulatory risks in its core operating countries, which could disrupt production or increase costs.

Pros

  • Newmont delivered record free cash flow and maintains a robust balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and near-zero net debt.
  • The company’s earnings and revenue significantly exceeded expectations in recent quarters, reflecting strong operational execution and cost discipline.
  • Newmont is the world’s largest gold miner and is strategically streamlining its portfolio to focus on high-return, long-life Tier 1 assets.

Considerations

  • Newmont’s valuation multiples are modestly above sector averages, which may limit upside if gold prices stagnate or decline.
  • The stock has exhibited high volatility recently, with technical indicators pointing to potential short-term price weakness.
  • While restructuring efforts are underway, investor confidence remains tempered by past execution challenges and skepticism over long-term production targets.

Related Market Insights

America's Copper Advantage: How Tariffs Are Reshaping The Market

US copper tariffs create a 50% shield for domestic producers. Futures plunged 19.5%, signalling market disruption & investment opportunities. Explore the Neme.

Author avatar

Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst

July 31, 2025

Read Insight

Southern Copper (SCCO) Next Earnings Date

Southern Copper (SCCO) is expected to announce its next earnings report on April 23, 2026, covering the Q1 2026 quarter. The company has not yet officially confirmed this date, but the estimate is based on historical earnings release patterns. Analysts are projecting an EPS of approximately $1.84-$1.85 for this period. This earnings announcement will provide investors with the company's first quarter financial performance and updated guidance.

Newmont (NEM) Next Earnings Date

Newmont Corporation (NEM) is expected to report its next earnings for the first quarter of 2026 around April 22, 2026, based on historical patterns and analyst estimates. This follows the most recent Q4 2025 release on February 19, 2026, after market close. The exact date remains unconfirmed by the company, with projections ranging from April 21 to April 27.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market

America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market

The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on certain copper imports, causing market volatility and creating a potential advantage for domestic producers. This theme focuses on U.S.-based copper fabricators and refiners who stand to benefit from these protectionist measures.

Published: July 31, 2025

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