Southern Copper vs Newmont
This page compares the business models, financial performance, and market context of Southern Copper and Newmont, offering clear, accessible insight into how each company operates, creates value, and competes within its sector. The tone is neutral and informative, designed to help readers understand these companies without guidance or recommendations. Educational content, not financial advice.
This page compares the business models, financial performance, and market context of Southern Copper and Newmont, offering clear, accessible insight into how each company operates, creates value, and ...
Why It's Moving
SCCO Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -33% Downside Risk
- Analysts' median target of $119.70 signals over 33% drop from recent $196 prices, with 11 sell ratings outweighing buys in a consensus hold.
- Goldman Sachs reaffirmed a 'sell' at $127.91, highlighting risks even after Q4 earnings beat ($1.56 vs. $1.54 expected) drove a 7% stock leap on record $3.87B sales.
- Insiders like Director Bonilla sold shares recently, adding pressure despite dividend boost to $1.00 quarterly and robust full-year net income up 28% to $4.33B.
Newmont Stock Slumps Amid Insider Selling and Analyst Caution Despite Gold Market Strength
- Insider David James Fry sold 18,394 shares at $111.45 on March 16th, sparking a 4.3% share decline on March 18th with trading volume surging 47% above daily averages, signaling investor nervousness around executive confidence
- Stock has fallen from a high of $134.88 in January to around $97-99 by mid-March, representing a 27% pullback that suggests concerns beyond typical market noise
- Analyst price targets remain mixed, with BNP Paribas Exane maintaining a neutral rating and price target of $128, implying limited upside from current levels despite the gold sector's recent strength
SCCO Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -33% Downside Risk
- Analysts' median target of $119.70 signals over 33% drop from recent $196 prices, with 11 sell ratings outweighing buys in a consensus hold.
- Goldman Sachs reaffirmed a 'sell' at $127.91, highlighting risks even after Q4 earnings beat ($1.56 vs. $1.54 expected) drove a 7% stock leap on record $3.87B sales.
- Insiders like Director Bonilla sold shares recently, adding pressure despite dividend boost to $1.00 quarterly and robust full-year net income up 28% to $4.33B.
Newmont Stock Slumps Amid Insider Selling and Analyst Caution Despite Gold Market Strength
- Insider David James Fry sold 18,394 shares at $111.45 on March 16th, sparking a 4.3% share decline on March 18th with trading volume surging 47% above daily averages, signaling investor nervousness around executive confidence
- Stock has fallen from a high of $134.88 in January to around $97-99 by mid-March, representing a 27% pullback that suggests concerns beyond typical market noise
- Analyst price targets remain mixed, with BNP Paribas Exane maintaining a neutral rating and price target of $128, implying limited upside from current levels despite the gold sector's recent strength
Investment Analysis
Southern Copper
SCCO
Pros
- Southern Copper benefits from leading cost efficiency and scale in copper production, sustaining high margins even amid volatile metal prices.
- The company maintains a geographically concentrated asset base in politically stable mining regions, supporting operational consistency and lower jurisdictional risk.
- Southern Copper offers a reliable dividend, with a recently announced payout and a history of returning capital to shareholders.
Considerations
- Southern Copper’s earnings are heavily tied to copper prices, exposing it to significant cyclical and macroeconomic volatility.
- Analyst sentiment is cautious, with average ratings at 'Hold' and price targets implying potential near-term downside from current levels.
- The company faces elevated political and regulatory risks in its core operating countries, which could disrupt production or increase costs.
Newmont
NEM
Pros
- Newmont delivered record free cash flow and maintains a robust balance sheet with substantial cash reserves and near-zero net debt.
- The company’s earnings and revenue significantly exceeded expectations in recent quarters, reflecting strong operational execution and cost discipline.
- Newmont is the world’s largest gold miner and is strategically streamlining its portfolio to focus on high-return, long-life Tier 1 assets.
Considerations
- Newmont’s valuation multiples are modestly above sector averages, which may limit upside if gold prices stagnate or decline.
- The stock has exhibited high volatility recently, with technical indicators pointing to potential short-term price weakness.
- While restructuring efforts are underway, investor confidence remains tempered by past execution challenges and skepticism over long-term production targets.
Related Market Insights
America's Copper Advantage: How Tariffs Are Reshaping The Market
US copper tariffs create a 50% shield for domestic producers. Futures plunged 19.5%, signalling market disruption & investment opportunities. Explore the Neme.
Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst
July 31, 2025
Related Market Insights
America's Copper Advantage: How Tariffs Are Reshaping The Market
US copper tariffs create a 50% shield for domestic producers. Futures plunged 19.5%, signalling market disruption & investment opportunities. Explore the Neme.
Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst
July 31, 2025
Southern Copper (SCCO) Next Earnings Date
Southern Copper (SCCO) is expected to report its next earnings on April 23 or 24, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026). This date aligns with the company's historical pattern of late-April releases for Q1 results, following the Q4 2025 earnings on January 27, 2026. Estimates vary slightly across sources between April 23-27, but have not been officially confirmed.
Newmont (NEM) Next Earnings Date
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is estimated to report its next earnings for the first quarter of 2026 between April 21 and April 27, 2026, with analysts converging on April 22, 2026, based on historical patterns following the February 19, 2026 release. This quarterly update will cover operational performance through March 2026. The company has not yet officially confirmed the precise date.
Southern Copper (SCCO) Next Earnings Date
Southern Copper (SCCO) is expected to report its next earnings on April 23 or 24, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026). This date aligns with the company's historical pattern of late-April releases for Q1 results, following the Q4 2025 earnings on January 27, 2026. Estimates vary slightly across sources between April 23-27, but have not been officially confirmed.
Newmont (NEM) Next Earnings Date
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is estimated to report its next earnings for the first quarter of 2026 between April 21 and April 27, 2026, with analysts converging on April 22, 2026, based on historical patterns following the February 19, 2026 release. This quarterly update will cover operational performance through March 2026. The company has not yet officially confirmed the precise date.
Which Baskets Do They Appear In?
America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market
The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on certain copper imports, causing market volatility and creating a potential advantage for domestic producers. This theme focuses on U.S.-based copper fabricators and refiners who stand to benefit from these protectionist measures.
Published: July 31, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market
The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on certain copper imports, causing market volatility and creating a potential advantage for domestic producers. This theme focuses on U.S.-based copper fabricators and refiners who stand to benefit from these protectionist measures.
Published: July 31, 2025
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