Southern CopperFreeport-McMoRan

Southern Copper vs Freeport-McMoRan

Major copper producer with operations in Peru and Mexico vs Major global copper miner with significant gold production. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in July 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Southern Copper operates some of the world's lowest-cost copper mines in Peru and Mexico with a majority shareholder that provides financial backing few rivals can match, while Freeport-McMoRan runs a...

Why It’s Moving

Southern Copper

Analysts Warn of 33% Downside as Copper Slump and Valuation Fears Hammer SCCO

  • Copper futures have weakened due to rising exchange inventories and macro uncertainty, directly pressuring realized prices and near-term margin expectations for miners like SCCO.
  • Multiple analysts have downgraded their ratings or turned cautious on SCCO, citing that the downside risk appears too high to justify a buy despite the company's strong 2025 full-year results.
  • Investor sentiment has turned fragile as the market focuses on forward-looking production commentary for 2026 and persistent concerns about commodity price sensitivity.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Freeport-McMoRan

Analysts Trim FCX Outlook as Copper Sector Weakness and Grasberg Delays Signal -17% Downside Risk

  • Broad selloff in copper-linked equities drives sector-wide volatility, with analysts noting the move reflects macro weakness rather than company-specific failures
  • Grasberg Block Cave mine in Indonesia continues to face ramp-up delays due to slower-than-expected production, amplifying downside risk when sector sentiment weakens
  • Approaching first-quarter earnings report scheduled for tomorrow morning has intensified investor caution as analysts weigh commodity outlooks against fundamental performance gaps
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Southern Copper reported strong Q3 2025 revenue growth, surpassing estimates and showing resilience in a challenging market.
  • The company maintains a high dividend yield, projected at 6.4% for 2025, making it attractive for income-focused investors.
  • Southern Copper benefits from robust production growth in zinc and silver, diversifying its revenue streams beyond copper.

Considerations

  • Copper production declined slightly year-on-year, reflecting operational challenges and potential supply constraints.
  • Analysts forecast a negative average price target for the stock, suggesting limited near-term upside and possible downside risk.
  • The company faces headwinds from global trade tensions and potential tariffs on US copper imports, impacting future demand.

Pros

  • Freeport-McMoRan holds a leading position in global copper mining, with significant stakes in major operations like Grasberg in Indonesia.
  • The company benefits from a diversified asset base across North America, reducing reliance on any single region or commodity.
  • Freeport-McMoRan has demonstrated strong operational efficiency and cost management in recent quarters.

Considerations

  • Freeport-McMoRan's stock has underperformed over the past year, with a notable decline compared to sector peers.
  • The company is exposed to geopolitical risks in key mining regions, which could disrupt operations and impact profitability.
  • Freeport-McMoRan faces ongoing challenges related to environmental regulations and community relations at its mining sites.

Southern Copper (SCCO) Next Earnings Date

Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) is estimated to announce its next earnings report covering Q2 2026 on or around July 28, 2026, based on historical reporting schedules. While the company has not confirmed a specific date, analysts typically expect the release between July 20, 2026 and July 29, 2026. This upcoming report will provide the second quarter's financial performance and outlook for the remainder of the fiscal year. Investors should monitor official company communications for the precise announcement time.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Next Earnings Date

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is estimated to announce its next earnings report on July 22, 2026, based on historical reporting schedules and analyst consensus. This upcoming earnings release will cover the financial results for the second quarter of 2026 (Q2 2026). The company has not yet officially confirmed a specific date, but market expectations place the announcement between July 22 and July 23, 2026. An earnings conference call is typically scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on the announcement date to discuss financial performance and outlook.

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SCCO
SCCO$171.93
vs
FCX
FCX$60.95
Buy FCX