SMBC GroupMizuho
Live Report Β· Updated February 16, 2026

SMBC Group vs Mizuho

SMBC Group vs Mizuho compares two major financial groups, presenting an accessible overview of their business models, financial performance, and the market context in which they operate. This page aim...

Why It's Moving

SMBC Group

SMFG Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -22% Downside Risk Despite Recent Highs

  • SMFG surged to a new 1-year high of $23.86 on Feb 10, outpacing its 50-day ($20.12) and 200-day ($17.73) moving averages, reflecting robust investor confidence in its financial stability.
  • Zacks Research downgraded SMFG to 'strong sell' and Wall Street Zen to 'hold', highlighting concerns over sustainability despite solid capital metrics like a 15.95% total capital ratio as of Dec 31, 2025.
  • Recent Q1 earnings missed EPS estimates ($0.16 vs. $0.40 expected) despite revenue beating at $17.71B, prompting institutional sales like Envestnet's while some funds aggressively built positions.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Mizuho

MFG Faces Analyst Storm: Warnings of 26% Downside Despite Recent Earnings Strength

  • Earnings beat: Q3 delivered EPS of $0.15 versus $0.10 expected and revenue of $6.14B topping $4.44B forecast, highlighting robust banking performance.
  • Rating trim: Weiss Ratings downgraded from 'buy (a-)' to 'buy (b+)' on February 3, signaling tempered optimism on future growth.
  • Recent dip: Shares fell to $9.90 by February 13 with elevated volume, testing support amid broader market sensitivity given MFG's beta of 1.62.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • SMBC Group is Japan's second-largest banking group with $2 trillion in total assets, ranking it among the world's largest financial institutions.
  • The group has a broad global presence in over 40 countries, covering major financial centers across Asia, Europe, America, and the Middle East.
  • SMBC Group demonstrates a strong commitment to sustainability and long-term client relationships, supporting steady growth and resilience.

Considerations

  • SMBC Group operates in a highly competitive market dominated by other megabanks like Mitsubishi UFJ and Mizuho, making margin expansion challenging.
  • Exposure to global economic fluctuations and geopolitical risks may affect its diverse international operations.
  • Recent market capitalisation around $105 billion reflects valuation pressures typical for large Japanese banks amid a low interest rate environment.

Pros

  • Mizuho Financial Group is one of Japan’s three megabanks with significant scale, holding about $1.9 trillion in total assets.
  • The bank has a diversified business model including retail, corporate, and investment banking with strong domestic franchise in Japan.
  • Mizuho is focused on digital transformation initiatives to improve operational efficiency and client services.

Considerations

  • Mizuho faces challenges from Japan’s prolonged low interest rate environment, which compresses net interest margins.
  • Its international expansion is more limited compared to peers like SMBC Group, potentially curbing growth opportunities abroad.
  • Legacy issues and occasional risk management challenges have periodically affected the bank's reputation and financial performance.

Related Market Insights

Asian Banking M&A: What's Next After HSBC Deal

HSBC's Hang Seng buyout signals a major M&A wave in Asian banking. Discover event-driven investment opportunities in consolidation across the Asia-Pacific financial sector.

Author avatar

Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst

October 9, 2025

Read Insight

Europe's Banking Merger Wave: The Consolidation Play That Could Reshape Finance

Explore Europe's banking merger wave. Invest in financial consolidation with Nemo's Neme, featuring Deutsche Bank, UBS, & ING. Start with fractional shares from $1.

Author avatar

Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst

July 25, 2025

Read Insight

SMBC Group (SMFG) Next Earnings Date

Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group (SMFG) released its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings (nine months ended December 31, 2025) on January 30, 2026. The next earnings release, covering the fiscal year ending March 31, 2026, is scheduled for mid-May 2026, typically accompanied by a financial results presentation. This aligns with SMFG's historical pattern of mid-May announcements for full-year results.

Mizuho (MFG) Next Earnings Date

Mizuho Financial Group (MFG) reported its most recent Q3 2026 earnings on February 2, 2026. The next earnings release, covering Q4 2026 (fiscal quarter ending December 2026), is expected around mid-May 2026, aligning with historical patterns such as May 13-14 or 21. Investors should monitor official announcements for the precise date and time.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Asian Banking M&A: What's Next After HSBC Deal

Asian Banking M&A: What's Next After HSBC Deal

HSBC's proposed $37.36 billion buyout of Hang Seng Bank signals a major consolidation event in Hong Kong's financial industry. This strategic move to take the bank private could catalyze further mergers and acquisitions, creating opportunities for other dominant banking institutions in the Asia-Pacific region.

Published: October 9, 2025

Explore Basket
European Financial Consolidation

European Financial Consolidation

BNP Paribas's acquisition of AXA Investment Managers could trigger a wave of mergers in European finance. These carefully selected stocks represent potential buyers and targets in banking, insurance, and asset management as the industry reshapes for the future.

Published: July 2, 2025

Explore Basket

Buy SMFG or MFG in Nemo

Nemo Logo Fade
πŸ†“

Zero Commission

Trade stocks, ETFs, and more with zero commission. Keep more of your returns.

πŸ”’

Trusted & Regulated

Part of Exinity Group 2015, serving over a million customers globally.

πŸ’°

6% Interest on Cash

Earn 6% AER on uninvested cash with daily interest payments.

Discover More Comparisons

SMBC GroupIntercontinental Exchange

SMBC Group vs Intercontinental Exchange

SMBC Group vs Intercontinental Exchange

SMBC GroupCME Group

SMBC Group vs CME Group

SMBC Group vs CME Group

SMBC GroupBMO

SMBC Group vs BMO

SMBC Group vs BMO stock comparison

Frequently asked questions