Royal Caribbean GroupHilton

Royal Caribbean Group vs Hilton

Royal Caribbean Group vs Hilton compares two leaders in travel and hospitality. This page examines their business models, financial performance, and the market context in which they operate, highlight...

Why It's Moving

Royal Caribbean Group

Royal Caribbean Shares Surge on Robust 2026 Outlook and Cruise Demand Boom

  • Q4 adjusted EPS hit $2.80 in line with forecasts, with net yields up 3% from higher pricing and occupancy at 108%, showing ships sailing full and passengers splurging more.
  • Management raised 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $17.70-$18.10, topping Street views, fueled by record WAVE bookings covering two-thirds of capacity amid 6.7% growth.
  • JPMorgan hiked its target post-earnings, citing ongoing booking strength and capacity ramps, as the cruise recovery draws risk-on bets in travel stocks.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Hilton

HLT Faces Analyst Warning of -7% Downside Despite Recent Bullish Upgrades and Earnings Anticipation

  • Multiple analysts like Goldman Sachs, TD Cowen, and JPMorgan recently raised targets to around $330, signaling confidence in Hilton's growth trajectory and repurchase plans.
  • Board boosted the stock buyback program by $3.5 billion to $4.6 billion total, underscoring faith in long-term value amid expectations of $11 billion in repurchases over four years.
  • Earnings preview points to 17.6% EPS growth to $2.07 and 7.3% revenue rise to $2.99 billion, with a positive Earnings ESP suggesting a likely beat that could counter downside fears.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Royal Caribbean is forecast to report record pricing in 2025, supported by strong demand for premium cruise experiences.
  • The company maintains a robust fleet expansion pipeline, with 15 new ships on order to drive future capacity growth.
  • Recent valuation metrics suggest Royal Caribbean may be undervalued relative to its historical averages and peers.

Considerations

  • Royal Caribbean's stock has shown significant volatility, with a sharp 19% decline over the past month amid sector-wide concerns.
  • The cruise industry remains sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as rising interest rates and fluctuating consumer sentiment.
  • Higher operating costs and fuel prices pose ongoing margin pressures for the company in the near term.

Pros

  • Hilton benefits from a globally recognised brand and a diversified portfolio of hotel properties across multiple segments.
  • The company has demonstrated consistent revenue growth driven by strong global travel demand and occupancy rates.
  • Hilton maintains a solid balance sheet with manageable debt levels and strong cash flow generation.

Considerations

  • Hilton's growth is exposed to cyclical trends in the travel and hospitality sector, which can impact profitability during downturns.
  • Intense competition from alternative accommodation providers continues to challenge traditional hotel operators.
  • The company faces risks from regulatory changes and rising labour costs in key markets.

Related Market Insights

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July 25, 2025

Read Insight

Royal Caribbean Group (RCL) Next Earnings Date

Royal Caribbean's (RCL) next earnings date is estimated for late April 2026, specifically around April 29, following the company's historical pattern after its Q4 2025 report on January 29. This release will cover the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026), aligning with typical quarterly reporting cycles. Guidance for full-year 2026 has already been issued, projecting Adjusted EPS of $17.70 to $18.10.

Hilton (HLT) Next Earnings Date

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) will report its fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, before market open at 9 a.m. EST. The earnings report will be followed by a conference call with President & CEO Christopher Nassetta and CFO Kevin Jacobs to discuss company performance and field analyst questions. This announcement represents the company's final earnings release for the 2025 fiscal year, providing investors with a comprehensive view of full-year results.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Travel

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Published: May 23, 2025

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