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RossTarget

Ross vs Target

Ross Stores Inc. vs Target Corp. This page compares business models, financial performance, and market context for the two retailers, outlining how each operates, their strategic focus, and their role...

Why It's Moving

Ross

Ross Stores Hits Record High as Earnings Beat Streak and Leadership Shift Fuel Momentum.

  • Q3 comps surged 7% with EPS of $1.58 beating estimates by 12.86%, signaling robust consumer demand for bargain apparel and home goods.
  • Zacks flags +3.09% Earnings ESP and Rank #2 (Buy) ahead of next report, highlighting potential for another beat after recent 7.74% average surprise.
  • Board Chair Michael Balmuth stepped down January 31 with new leadership eyeing store expansions, self-checkout rollouts, and comps growth of 4-7%.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish
Target

Target Ushers in New Era with CEO Shift, Aggressive Store Expansion, and Wellness Push

  • New CEO Michael Fiddelke, former COO, takes helm to tackle ongoing challenges after years of lagging performance, with revenue and net income peaking in 2022.
  • Announced 30 new stores and $1 billion extra investment in 2026, boosting total capex to $5 billion to fuel physical footprint growth.
  • Wellness category surges 30% with thousands of under-$10 items, over 1,000 new apparel pieces, plus record spring beauty assortment of nearly 3,000 products to capture everyday demand.
Sentiment:
๐ŸƒBullish

Investment Analysis

Ross

Ross

ROST

Pros

  • Ross Stores achieved revenue growth of around 4.6% year-over-year in Q2 2025, exceeding Wall Street expectations with $5.53 billion in sales.
  • The company operates a unique off-price retail model that allows purchasing excess inventory from department stores at steep discounts, supporting competitive pricing.
  • Several major institutional investors increased stakes in Ross in 2025, indicating some confidence in its long-term value.

Considerations

  • Ross's earnings per share are forecasted to decline slightly in 2025, impacted by rising distribution costs and tariffs which may continue to pressure margins.
  • Key insiders, including the CEO and CMO, recently sold shares, signaling possible short-term uncertainty within management.
  • Ross Stores trades at a premium valuation with a forward P/E of about 25.7 and PEG ratio above industry average, raising concerns about valuation sustainability.

Pros

  • Target has a broad and diverse product offering across multiple categories, supporting steady customer traffic and sales resilience.
  • The company has focused on enhancing its digital and supply chain capabilities, helping sustain growth amid changing retail dynamics.
  • Target's strong brand recognition and loyal customer base provide a competitive moat in the US retail market.

Considerations

  • Target faces margin pressure due to inflationary cost pressures and supply chain disruptions impacting profitability.
  • The retailerโ€™s performance can be cyclical and sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending trends and economic downturns.
  • Recent increased investments in promotions and price competitiveness may weigh on near-term earnings and cash flow.

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Ross (ROST) Next Earnings Date

Ross Stores (ROST) next earnings date is estimated for Tuesday, March 3, 2026, following the company's historical late February to early March pattern for fiscal year-end reports. This release will cover the Q4 2025 results, typically announced after market close. Note that the exact date remains unconfirmed by the company, with estimates ranging from March 2-6 across analyst sources.

Target (TGT) Next Earnings Date

Target Corporation's next earnings release is estimated for March 3, 2026, based on the company's historical reporting pattern. This announcement will cover the company's fiscal Q4 2025 results. The earnings report is expected to be released before market open, allowing investors to react during the trading session. Analyst consensus estimates suggest an EPS figure around $1.00 for this period.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Value Retail Stocks (Budget-Conscious Consumer Play)

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With consumer sentiment falling, particularly among budget-conscious households, spending habits are shifting towards value-focused retailers. This theme identifies companies poised to attract customers who are looking to stretch their dollars on essential goods.

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The Great Retail Price Divide

This collection of stocks represents retailers capitalizing on Amazon's price increases by offering better deals on everyday essentials. These companies were carefully selected by our analysts for their potential to attract budget-conscious shoppers looking for more affordable alternatives.

Published: July 21, 2025

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