NextDecade vs Kimbell Royalty Partners

This page compares NextDecade and Kimbell Royalty Partners to explain differences in business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It covers strategy, revenue drivers, risk factors, and industry positioning so readers understand how each company operates and where they fit in the energy and royalty space. Educational content, not financial advice.

This page compares NextDecade and Kimbell Royalty Partners to explain differences in business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. It covers strategy, revenu...

Investment Analysis

NextDecade

NEXT

Pros

NextDecade focuses on large-scale liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal development in Texas, positioning in a growing energy infrastructure sector.
The company is advancing carbon capture and storage (CCS) projects, aligning with increasing regulatory and market focus on emissions reduction.
Analyst price targets suggest significant upside potential, with a 12-month average target around 48% above current prices.

Considerations

NextDecade is currently unprofitable with significant net losses and negative earnings per share, reflecting high execution and financial risks.
The stock price is forecasted to decline roughly 17-18% by end of 2025, with bearish sentiment and high volatility indicating market caution.
There is a wide disparity in fair value estimates, highlighting uncertainty in near-term financial sustainability and business execution outcomes.

Kimbell Royalty Partners

KRP

Pros

Kimbell Royalty Partners has a diversified portfolio of mineral and royalty interests in U.S. oil and natural gas properties, generating steady revenue streams.
The company offers an attractive dividend yield above 12%, appealing to income-focused investors.
Financial metrics show positive return on assets, equity, and invested capital, reflecting efficient capital deployment and operational profitability.

Considerations

Recent net income is slightly negative, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue generation.
The stock is rated a 'Hold' by analysts with moderate upside potential, suggesting limited near-term growth catalysts.
Exposure to oil and gas commodities subjects revenues and dividends to cyclicality and commodity price volatility risks.

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Frequently asked questions

About The Companies

NextDecade (NEXT)

NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) is an energy company focused on developing liquefied natural gas (LNG) export capacity, with its flagship Rio Grande LNG project in Texas. The business model centres on building liquefaction and export infrastructure and securing long-term offtake and financing arrangements to convert domestic natural gas into export sales. With a market capitalisation of about $1.57bn, NextDecade is still project-stage with revenue and profitability tied closely to project development milestones, commodity markets and successful capital raises. Key investor considerations include construction and financing risk, the need for regulatory approvals, exposure to global LNG prices and demand, and sensitivity to interest rates and inflation. Environmental and permitting issues, plus the energy transition, may affect timelines and costs. This summary is for general educational purposes only, not personal financial advice — values can rise or fall and returns are not guaranteed; consider suitability and consult a financial adviser before acting.

Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP)

Kimbell Royalty Partners LP (KRP) is a US-listed limited partnership that acquires and manages oil and gas royalty and overriding royalty interests. With a market capitalisation of about $1.40bn, KRP’s revenues come primarily from royalties rather than direct production, which can mean lower operating costs and capital intensity compared with producers. Cash flows are driven by commodity prices, production volumes and well performance across its acreage positions; management aims to grow long-lived royalty assets through acquisitions. Investors may find exposure to energy prices and potential distribution income appealing, but returns can be volatile. Key risks include declines in oil and gas prices, production setbacks, regulatory or environmental changes, and concentration in particular basins. As an LP, KRP typically issues partnership K‑1s, which has tax implications. This summary is general educational information, not personal advice — consider your objectives, risk tolerance and seek independent financial and tax advice before investing.