NewmontFreeport-McMoRan

Newmont vs Freeport-McMoRan

Newmont digs gold from mines across four continents and sits at the top of the senior gold producer pecking order while Freeport-McMoRan dominates global copper production and rides the electrificatio...

Why It's Moving

Newmont

NEM Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -6% Downside Risk

  • Oil rebound revives risk-off sentiment, trapping Nasdaq below resistance and amplifying downside risks for risk assets like NEM.
  • Weak February jobs data with 92,000 payroll losses pushes unemployment to 4.4%, complicating Fed rate cuts despite oil-fueled inflation.
  • Surge in NEM options trading to 96,518 contracts reflects strong market interest and bets on over 25% downside from recent highs.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Freeport-McMoRan

FCX Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -17% Downside Risk

  • UBS slashed its price target to $66 from $70, highlighting valuation concerns despite a 'buy' rating, as macro signals diverge with soft copper demand.
  • Q4 2025 cash costs per pound surged, with Q1 2026 hikes squeezing margins and fueling investor worries over profitability.
  • Bearish MACD crossover and break below the 50-day average point to potential drops toward $55 support amid metals volatility.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Newmont delivered strong Q3 2025 results, with EPS and revenue exceeding expectations and record free cash flow of $1.6 billion.
  • The company maintains a robust balance sheet, ending the quarter with $5.6 billion in cash and near-zero net debt.
  • Newmont is the world's largest gold miner, with diversified operations across multiple continents and a clear production growth target for 2028.

Considerations

  • Analyst price targets for Newmont show a wide range, indicating uncertainty about future stock performance and potential downside risk.
  • Insider share sales have occurred recently, which may raise questions about executive confidence in near-term prospects.
  • The stock has experienced high volatility, and some forecasts suggest a potential price decline over the next few months.

Pros

  • Freeport-McMoRan benefits from exposure to copper, a metal with strong demand growth driven by electrification and renewable energy trends.
  • The company has a significant market capitalisation and operates some of the world's largest copper and gold mines.
  • Freeport-McMoRan maintains a solid dividend policy, providing regular returns to shareholders despite commodity price fluctuations.

Considerations

  • Freeport-McMoRan's earnings and stock price are highly sensitive to copper price volatility, which can be influenced by global macroeconomic factors.
  • The company carries a higher debt burden compared to sector peers, increasing financial risk during periods of low commodity prices.
  • Environmental and regulatory risks are elevated due to the scale and geographic spread of Freeport-McMoRan's mining operations.

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Newmont (NEM) Next Earnings Date

Newmont (NEM) is expected to announce its Q1 2026 earnings on April 22, 2026, based on the company's historical reporting schedule. The earnings report will cover the first quarter of 2026 and will be followed by a conference call at 5:30 PM ET on the same day. Most sources project the announcement between April 21-27, 2026, though the exact date has not yet been officially confirmed by the company.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Next Earnings Date

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) is estimated to report its next earnings on April 23, 2026, before market open, covering the first quarter ending March 2026. This date aligns with the company's historical pattern of late-April releases for Q1 results, though it remains unconfirmed officially. Investors should monitor for any formal announcement from the company.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market

America's Copper Advantage: Tariffs Reshape The Market

The U.S. has imposed a 50% tariff on certain copper imports, causing market volatility and creating a potential advantage for domestic producers. This theme focuses on U.S.-based copper fabricators and refiners who stand to benefit from these protectionist measures.

Published: July 31, 2025

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Inflation Hedge Basket

Inflation Hedge Basket

Looking to protect your money from rising prices? This collection features companies that own real, physical assets from gold mines to global infrastructure. Professional analysts have selected these stocks specifically for their ability to maintain and potentially increase in value during inflationary periods.

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