NewmontFreeport-McMoRan

Newmont vs Freeport-McMoRan

Global gold producer operating mines across continents vs Major global copper miner with significant gold production. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in August 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Newmont digs gold from mines across four continents and sits at the top of the senior gold producer pecking order while Freeport-McMoRan dominates global copper production and rides the electrificatio...

Why It’s Moving

Newmont

Newmont’s rally is facing a reality check as gold momentum cools and traders lock in gains.

  • Newmont’s stock has been whipsawed by the tug-of-war between a powerful gold rally and a fresh pullback in bullion prices, which is making traders reassess how much of the recent move is already priced in.
  • The company’s recent settlement with Barrick removed a major legal overhang, but some investors are now weighing whether that upside has started to fade as rate expectations and gold sentiment shift.
  • Analyst commentary has stayed constructive overall, yet the stock’s recent dip reflects a more cautious mood after an extended run-up, with the market focusing on whether earnings momentum can keep pace with the share price.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
Freeport-McMoRan

FCX slips as analyst caution and Grasberg execution risk keep downside pressure in focus

  • FCX has been pressured by fresh analyst caution after a downgrade tied to slower production ramp expectations and lingering execution risk at Grasberg, keeping sentiment guarded around the stock.
  • Investors are still digesting the company’s recent quarterly results, where solid headline numbers were offset by ongoing concerns about the timing and cost of restoring output in Indonesia.
  • Recent insider selling headlines have added to the cautious tone, reinforcing the market’s focus on management confidence and near-term earnings durability.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Newmont delivered strong Q3 2025 results, with EPS and revenue exceeding expectations and record free cash flow of $1.6 billion.
  • The company maintains a robust balance sheet, ending the quarter with $5.6 billion in cash and near-zero net debt.
  • Newmont is the world's largest gold miner, with diversified operations across multiple continents and a clear production growth target for 2028.

Considerations

  • Analyst price targets for Newmont show a wide range, indicating uncertainty about future stock performance and potential downside risk.
  • Insider share sales have occurred recently, which may raise questions about executive confidence in near-term prospects.
  • The stock has experienced high volatility, and some forecasts suggest a potential price decline over the next few months.

Pros

  • Freeport-McMoRan benefits from exposure to copper, a metal with strong demand growth driven by electrification and renewable energy trends.
  • The company has a significant market capitalisation and operates some of the world's largest copper and gold mines.
  • Freeport-McMoRan maintains a solid dividend policy, providing regular returns to shareholders despite commodity price fluctuations.

Considerations

  • Freeport-McMoRan's earnings and stock price are highly sensitive to copper price volatility, which can be influenced by global macroeconomic factors.
  • The company carries a higher debt burden compared to sector peers, increasing financial risk during periods of low commodity prices.
  • Environmental and regulatory risks are elevated due to the scale and geographic spread of Freeport-McMoRan's mining operations.

Newmont (NEM) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for Newmont (NEM) is expected on October 22, 2026. The report should cover Q3 2026 results. This date is still an estimate, but it matches the company’s typical late-October reporting pattern.

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for FCX is expected on October 22, 2026, based on its usual reporting pattern. This report will cover Q3 2026. The company has not formally confirmed the date yet, so it should be treated as an estimate.

Buy NEM or FCX in Nemo

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