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Mercado LibreADP

Mercado Libre vs ADP

Mercado Libre and ADP are examined side by side to illustrate how their business models, financial performance, and market context compare. This page offers a neutral overview of each company’s strate...

Why It's Moving

Mercado Libre

MercadoLibre surges as investors pile in amid resilient e-commerce momentum.

  • Stock advanced 4.7% to $2,230, building on a +10.1% monthly gain that doubled the S&P 500's performance.
  • Bank of New York Mellon boosted its stake with 15,646 new shares, signaling institutional conviction despite insider sales.
  • Analysts hold a 'Buy' consensus with targets around $2,877, backed by expectations of 5.6% EPS growth this year and 49.7% next.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
ADP

ADP Powers Ahead with Q2 Earnings Beat and AI-Driven Outlook Boost

  • Launched ADP Assist AI agents for payroll, HR, analytics, and tax, leveraging global data to tackle real workforce issues and win new deals.
  • Raised FY26 EPS guidance to $10.09-$11.01 above street expectations, ES revenue growth to 6%, and net investment impact by $10 million to $1.27-$1.29 billion.
  • Board approved $6 billion share buyback while PEO revenue grew 6%, highlighting solid new business bookings and margin gains from operating leverage.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • MercadoLibre is the leading online marketplace in Latin America with a comprehensive ecosystem including e-commerce, payment solutions, and digital credit offerings.
  • It has demonstrated robust growth, with net revenue reaching $7.4 billion in Q3 2025 and 27 consecutive quarters of over 30% year-over-year growth.
  • Analysts have a consensus rating of strong buy with an average price target implying a potential 33% upside over the next year.

Considerations

  • The stock price is forecasted by some models to decline nearly 30% by December 2025, reflecting bearish sentiment and high volatility.
  • Profit margins have shown pressure, dropping to 7.7% in Q2 2025, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability.
  • The company holds a high valuation with a P/E ratio around 54 for 2025, which could limit upside if growth expectations are not met.
ADP

ADP

ADP

Pros

  • ADP is a globally established leader in payroll and human capital management services with a broad client base and diversified revenue streams.
  • The company has strong cash flow generation and a solid balance sheet supporting ongoing investments and returns to shareholders.
  • Growing demand for digital HR and payroll solutions positions ADP well to capitalize on secular trends in workforce management technology.

Considerations

  • ADP faces significant competition from other technology and software providers, which could pressure market share and pricing.
  • Exposure to economic cycles can impact new client acquisition and overall service demand, introducing some cyclicality risks.
  • Regulatory changes in data privacy and labour laws across multiple jurisdictions create ongoing compliance and operational challenges.

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Mercado Libre (MELI) Next Earnings Date

MercadoLibre (MELI)'s next earnings date is estimated for February 19, 2026, covering the Q4 2025 period. This date aligns with the company's historical reporting pattern in mid-to-late February for year-end results. Note that the exact date remains unconfirmed by the company, with some estimates varying slightly to late February.

ADP (ADP) Next Earnings Date

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported its Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings on January 28, 2026, covering the quarter ended December 2025. The next earnings release, for Q3 fiscal 2026 (period ending March 2026), is expected on or around April 29, 2026, aligning with historical patterns of late April or early May reporting. Analyst estimates place this approximately four weeks after the fiscal quarter end, though ADP has not yet officially confirmed the precise date.

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