Las Vegas SandsFormula One

Las Vegas Sands vs Formula One

Las Vegas Sands and Formula One are contrasted on this page to explore how their business models, financial performance, and market context differ. The comparison covers corporate structure, revenue d...

Why It's Moving

Las Vegas Sands

LVS Stock Swings Wildly After Q4 Earnings Beat Sparks Mixed Signals on Macau Strength and Cautious Outlook

  • Q4 revenue hit $3.65 billion, exceeding forecasts thanks to robust growth in Singapore and Macao, signaling resilient traveler demand despite regional headwinds.
  • Dividend hiked to $0.30 per share alongside share buybacks, underscoring management's bet on steady cash flows even as forward guidance of $3.3 billion for 2026 drew skepticism.
  • Analysts split: some raised targets on margin recovery potential, while others flagged Macau EBITDA dips and capital shifts away from growth investments.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
Formula One

FWONK Faces Warning Flags as Analyst Models Signal 10% Downside Risk Amid Valuation Concerns

  • Morningstar pegs FWONK at a steep 243% premium to its $33.78 fair value, highlighting overvaluation risks that could pressure shares lower if growth disappoints.
  • Recent 13F filings show hedge fund M.D. Sass slashing its FWONK stake by 36% in Q3, reflecting waning confidence while smaller player Optimize Financial initiated a modest new position.
  • Q3 2025 earnings missed estimates with $0.24 EPS versus $0.42 expected, underscoring profitability challenges in the entertainment sector ahead of next week's report.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Las Vegas Sands reported stronger-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings with EPS of $0.78 surpassing forecasts by 28%, supported by robust revenue of $3.33 billion.
  • The company maintains high profitability with gross profit margins near 79% and strong EBITDA performance, notably $743 million from Marina Bay Sands in Singapore.
  • Strategic growth initiatives include an $8 billion expansion plan in Singapore and increased dividends by 20%, reflecting confidence in cash flow and shareholder returns.

Considerations

  • Despite recent strong earnings, analysts forecast a potential near-term share price decline of about 11% by end of 2025 due to market volatility and valuation concerns.
  • Exposure to Macao and Singapore markets creates regional regulatory and geopolitical risks, including sensitivity to events like typhoons which recently caused a $20 million impact.
  • The company's P/E ratio remains relatively elevated around 28, which may indicate limited valuation upside compared to historical averages and sector peers.

Pros

  • Formula One under Liberty Media benefits from a globally recognised brand with a loyal, growing fanbase, enhancing long-term revenue streams through broadcast, sponsorship, and events.
  • The sport's expansion into new markets and increasing digital engagement provide significant growth potential beyond traditional race revenues.
  • A diversified revenue model with broadcasting rights, event hosting, and merchandising supports stable cash flow and reduces dependence on any single income source.

Considerations

  • The business is highly cyclical and sensitive to macroeconomic fluctuations impacting discretionary spending on live events and sponsorship deals.
  • Formula One faces intense competition from other global sports and entertainment options, requiring continual investment in fan engagement and innovation.
  • Regulatory pressures around sustainability and environmental concerns could increase operational costs and necessitate expensive technology upgrades.

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Las Vegas Sands (LVS) Next Earnings Date

Las Vegas Sands (LVS) most recently reported its Q4 2025 earnings on January 28, 2026, covering the quarter ended December 31, 2025. The next earnings release, for Q1 2026, is estimated for April 22, 2026, aligning with the company's historical mid-to-late April pattern for first-quarter results. This date reflects analyst projections based on prior reporting schedules.

Formula One (FWONK) Next Earnings Date

Liberty Media Corporation (FWONK) will release its next earnings on Thursday, February 26, 2026, prior to market open, followed by a conference call at 10:00 a.m. ET. This report will cover the fourth quarter of 2025. The announcement aligns with the company's standard late-February timing for Q4 results.

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