Kinross Gold vs Steel Dynamics

Kinross Gold and Steel Dynamics are compared on this page to explore their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. The analysis presents key differences and similarities to help readers understand the sectors in which each company operates. Educational content, not financial advice.

Kinross Gold and Steel Dynamics are compared on this page to explore their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. The analysis presents key difference...

Comparison Snapshot

Key Financial Metrics

KGC

Metric

STLD

$38.57B

Market Cap

$29.56B

-12.31%

Potential Profit

-7.91%

Buy

Analyst Rating

Buy

Why It's Moving

KGC Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

CIBC hiked its price target to $54 on February 4, citing elevated gold forecasts to $6,000/oz in 2026, yet some see overvaluation risks if metal prices falter.
Kinross scheduled 2025 Q4 results and 2026 guidance for February 18, heightening uncertainty as markets anticipate details on reserves and capital plans.
Zacks flagged KGC as a value play with a Hold rank on February 2, but upward earnings revisions may not offset sector headwinds like geopolitical flux.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

STLD Faces Analyst Warnings of Downside Despite Strong 2025 Earnings Momentum

Q4 2025 EPS beat estimates at $1.82 versus $1.72 expected, highlighting operational resilience even as revenue fell short at $4.41 billion against $4.62 billion forecast.
Analyst targets rose to $191.28 on firmer U.S. steel pricing and sheet mill improvements, but consensus remains 'Hold' with average objective at $182, suggesting caution amid valuation debates.
Progress in aluminum flat-rolled commissioning delivered positive EBITDA in December, bolstering long-term diversification while steel prices dipped $12 per ton sequentially.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

KGC Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

CIBC hiked its price target to $54 on February 4, citing elevated gold forecasts to $6,000/oz in 2026, yet some see overvaluation risks if metal prices falter.
Kinross scheduled 2025 Q4 results and 2026 guidance for February 18, heightening uncertainty as markets anticipate details on reserves and capital plans.
Zacks flagged KGC as a value play with a Hold rank on February 2, but upward earnings revisions may not offset sector headwinds like geopolitical flux.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

STLD Faces Analyst Warnings of Downside Despite Strong 2025 Earnings Momentum

Q4 2025 EPS beat estimates at $1.82 versus $1.72 expected, highlighting operational resilience even as revenue fell short at $4.41 billion against $4.62 billion forecast.
Analyst targets rose to $191.28 on firmer U.S. steel pricing and sheet mill improvements, but consensus remains 'Hold' with average objective at $182, suggesting caution amid valuation debates.
Progress in aluminum flat-rolled commissioning delivered positive EBITDA in December, bolstering long-term diversification while steel prices dipped $12 per ton sequentially.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Kinross Gold

KGC

Pros

Kinross Gold reported a 21.44% revenue increase in 2024, reaching $5.15 billion, along with a 127.91% rise in earnings to $948.80 million.
The company's return on equity is strong at 16.23%, indicating efficient use of equity capital to generate profits.
Kinross announced a 17% annual increase to its cash dividend, reflecting solid cash flow and shareholder returns.

Considerations

Recent stock forecasts suggest a potential short-term price decrease of about 3.5%, indicating near-term price pressure.
The price-to-earnings ratio of around 18.4 may imply limited valuation upside compared to peers with lower multiples.
Kinross faces commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks due to operations across multiple countries with varying regulatory environments.

Steel Dynamics

STLD

Pros

Steel Dynamics has a diversified product portfolio including flat-rolled steel, structural steel, and metals recycling, reducing reliance on any single segment.
The company has demonstrated strong operational efficiency with continued margin improvements amid challenging commodity markets.
Steel Dynamics benefits from solid balance sheet metrics, maintaining healthy liquidity and conservative debt levels supporting investment and growth.

Considerations

Steel Dynamics is exposed to cyclical risks inherent in the steel industry, including sensitivity to macroeconomic downturns and raw material price fluctuations.
Increased competition and regulatory costs may pressure future profitability in core steel manufacturing markets.
Steel Dynamics faces execution risks related to capacity expansion projects and integration of acquired businesses that could impact near-term earnings.

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