Gold FieldsSteel Dynamics

Gold Fields vs Steel Dynamics

Gold Fields Ltd. and Steel Dynamics Inc. are featured to compare their business models, financial performance, and market context. This page presents a neutral view of strategies, operations, and comp...

Why It's Moving

Gold Fields

GFI Faces Analyst Warnings of 12% Downside Despite Recent Profit Surge and Upgrade Buzz

  • Zacks Research upgraded GFI to 'Strong Buy' on February 4, citing a 12.6% rise in earnings estimates over three months, signaling improving business momentum.
  • Company forecasts full-year headline earnings of $2.79-$2.97 per share, nearly tripling prior year on surging gold prices and Gruyere mine integration despite higher costs.
  • Analyst consensus holds at 'Hold' with an average target of $44, implying 12% downside from recent $52+ levels, while institutional ownership ticks up slightly.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
Steel Dynamics

STLD Faces Analyst Warnings of Downside Despite Strong 2025 Earnings Momentum

  • Q4 2025 EPS beat estimates at $1.82 versus $1.72 expected, highlighting operational resilience even as revenue fell short at $4.41 billion against $4.62 billion forecast.
  • Analyst targets rose to $191.28 on firmer U.S. steel pricing and sheet mill improvements, but consensus remains 'Hold' with average objective at $182, suggesting caution amid valuation debates.
  • Progress in aluminum flat-rolled commissioning delivered positive EBITDA in December, bolstering long-term diversification while steel prices dipped $12 per ton sequentially.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Gold Fields is one of the world’s largest gold producers with diversified mines across multiple continents including South Africa, Australia, Canada, Chile, and Peru.
  • The company reported a strong 24% increase in attributable gold production in the first half of 2025, supported by the startup progress at the Salares Norte mine.
  • Gold Fields has improved its financial health significantly with adjusted free cash flow rising to $952 million in H1 2025 from a prior outflow, and it anticipates cost reductions in H2 2025.

Considerations

  • Gold Fields operates in a cyclical and commodity-sensitive sector highly exposed to fluctuating gold prices and geopolitical risks linked to mining operations in multiple regions.
  • All-in sustaining costs remain relatively high at $1,682 per ounce which could pressure margins if gold prices decline.
  • Despite recent positive earnings estimates and analyst upgrades, the stock’s price volatility remains elevated, reflecting investor uncertainty about near-term market conditions.

Pros

  • Steel Dynamics achieved record steel shipments of 3.6 million tons in Q3 2025, surpassing forecasts with strong revenue and earnings per share performance.
  • The company operates a vertically integrated business model spanning steel production, metal recycling, steel fabrication, and aluminium operations, diversifying its revenue streams.
  • Steel Dynamics serves multiple broad industrial end markets including construction, automotive, manufacturing, and energy, providing growth opportunities tied to economic activity.

Considerations

  • Steel Dynamics faces risks from cyclical steel demand and raw material price volatility, which can impact margins and profitability.
  • The company’s exposure to the US market makes it vulnerable to domestic economic slowdowns or regulatory changes affecting manufacturing and construction sectors.
  • Rising competition and capacity expansions in the steel industry pose execution risks to maintaining pricing power and market share.

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Gold Fields (GFI) Next Earnings Date

Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) is scheduled to report its next earnings on February 19, 2026, covering the full-year 2025 (Q4 2025). This date aligns with consensus estimates from multiple financial calendars and the company's historical pattern of late-February releases for December-year-end results. Investors should monitor for any official confirmation from the company, typically issued via Johannesburg.

Steel Dynamics (STLD) Next Earnings Date

Steel Dynamics (STLD) is scheduled to report its next earnings on April 21, 2026, covering the Q1 2026 period. This follows the company's most recent Q4 2025 earnings release on January 26, 2026. Investors should monitor for official confirmation as the date approaches, consistent with Steel Dynamics' quarterly reporting cadence.

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