Gold FieldsArcelorMittal

Gold Fields vs ArcelorMittal

This page compares Gold Fields Ltd. and ArcelorMittal SA, examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. The content is presented to support u...

Why It's Moving

Gold Fields

GFI Faces Analyst Warnings of 12% Downside Despite Recent Profit Surge and Upgrade Buzz

  • Zacks Research upgraded GFI to 'Strong Buy' on February 4, citing a 12.6% rise in earnings estimates over three months, signaling improving business momentum.
  • Company forecasts full-year headline earnings of $2.79-$2.97 per share, nearly tripling prior year on surging gold prices and Gruyere mine integration despite higher costs.
  • Analyst consensus holds at 'Hold' with an average target of $44, implying 12% downside from recent $52+ levels, while institutional ownership ticks up slightly.
Sentiment:
πŸŒ‹Volatile
ArcelorMittal

MT Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -21% Downside Risk

  • Q4 earnings topped estimates even with lower shipments, highlighting resilient operations and record iron ore production from Liberia.
  • Company forecasts 2% global steel demand growth outside China in 2026, backed by $4.5-5.0B capex for energy transition and infrastructure plays.
  • GuruFocus pegs fair value at $30.16 versus current levels near $60, implying over 50% downside and clashing with Wall Street's milder $54 average target.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Gold Fields is a major gold producer with significant gold reserves and diversified mining operations across several countries.
  • The company benefits from a strong gold price environment which supports revenue and cash flow growth.
  • Gold Fields maintains a focus on operational efficiency and cost control, contributing to profitability resilience amid commodity price volatility.

Considerations

  • Gold Fields is exposed to geopolitical risks and regulatory changes in the multiple jurisdictions where it operates.
  • The company faces typical mining sector risks such as resource depletion and the need for continuous exploration investment.
  • Gold Fields' earnings and share price can be highly sensitive to fluctuating gold prices and changes in global economic conditions.

Pros

  • ArcelorMittal has demonstrated strong quarterly earnings performance in 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with solid revenue and EPS growth.
  • The company is investing nearly $1 billion in strategic growth projects, supporting future capacity expansion and product mix enhancement.
  • Its diversified global footprint and focus on high-margin products provide resilience against regional challenges and competitive pressures.

Considerations

  • ArcelorMittal faces operational challenges in key markets including import pressures in Brazil and difficulties in Mexico impacting margins.
  • Analyst forecasts indicate potential downside risk with price target revisions reflecting concerns over medium-term demand and commodity cycles.
  • The steel industry is cyclical and exposed to macroeconomic headwinds, including raw material cost volatility and trade policy uncertainties.

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Gold Fields (GFI) Next Earnings Date

Gold Fields Ltd (GFI) is scheduled to report its next earnings on February 19, 2026, covering the full-year 2025 (Q4 2025). This date aligns with consensus estimates from multiple financial calendars and the company's historical pattern of late-February releases for December-year-end results. Investors should monitor for any official confirmation from the company, typically issued via Johannesburg.

ArcelorMittal (MT) Next Earnings Date

ArcelorMittal will report its Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 5, 2026, before market open with a conference call scheduled for 3:00 AM ET. Analysts expect the company to report earnings per share of approximately $0.75 and revenue of $15.56 billion for the quarter. This earnings announcement is part of the company's established financial calendar and represents the first major earnings release of 2026.

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