Gold FieldsKinross Gold

Gold Fields vs Kinross Gold

Gold Fields Ltd. and Kinross Gold Corporation are compared on this page, examining their business models, financial performance, and their place within the market context. The tone is neutral and acce...

Why It's Moving

Gold Fields

GFI Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -10% Downside Risk

  • Shares plunged 6.8% on March 18, opening at $42.74 after closing at $46.41, reflecting profit-taking after a prior run-up.
  • CWA Asset Management slashed its GFI stake by 95.8% in Q4, dumping 133,888 shares and leaving just 5,897, underscoring fading institutional confidence.
  • Bearish technicals emerged with the 10-day moving average crossing below the 50-day on March 13 and momentum indicator dropping below zero on March 3, hinting at sustained downside.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
Kinross Gold

Kinross Gold faces analyst skepticism despite gold rally and margin expansion momentum

  • Q4 adjusted EPS of $0.67 substantially exceeded analyst expectations, demonstrating operational execution and profitability strength in a favorable gold price environment
  • Kinross achieved three consecutive quarters of margin expansion with Q3 margins surging 54% year-over-year to $2,310 per ounce, signaling improved cost management despite an 11% production decline in that period
  • The company moved into net cash position of $485 million and raised its share buyback target by 20% to $600 million, indicating confidence in capital allocation, though this may not fully address analyst concerns around forward guidance or project risks
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Gold Fields reported a strong Q1 2025 earnings per share of $0.85, beating forecasts by over 44%, signaling robust profitability.
  • The company achieved a 24% increase in gold production in H1 2025, supported by key projects like Salares Norte reaching commercial production stages.
  • Strong cash flow generation enabled significant dividend payments and debt reduction, with a target net debt to EBITDA ratio of 1x, enhancing financial health.

Considerations

  • Gold Fields has relatively high all-in sustaining costs at around $1,682 per ounce, which could pressure margins if gold prices decline significantly.
  • The stock exhibits high price volatility, with a recent 30-day volatility of approximately 5.39%, presenting risks to short-term investors.
  • The company is exposed to geopolitical and operational risks across multiple countries, including South Africa, Chile, and Peru, which may impact stability.

Pros

  • Kinross Gold is positioned to benefit from higher gold prices with a robust pipeline of development projects supporting growth prospects.
  • The company has been highlighted for higher growth projections within the gold mining sector, suggesting potential for strong future earnings expansion.
  • Kinross maintains solid financial health and favorable analyst sentiment, ranked as a strong buy in recent investment research.

Considerations

  • Kinross remains exposed to commodity price cyclicality, which can impact revenue and profitability given gold market fluctuations.
  • The company faces execution risks related to advancing multiple development projects simultaneously, which may increase operational complexity.
  • Regulatory and geopolitical risks in countries where Kinross operates, such as Russia and Brazil, could pose challenges to ongoing operations.

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Gold Fields (GFI) Next Earnings Date

Gold Fields Ltd ADR (GFI) is scheduled to report its next earnings on May 7, 2026, after market close. This release will cover the Q1 2026 results. Investors should monitor for updates, as dates can shift based on company announcements.

Kinross Gold (KGC) Next Earnings Date

Kinross Gold (KGC) is expected to release its next earnings on April 29, 2026, after market close, covering Q1 2026 results. This date aligns with the company's historical quarterly reporting pattern following the recent Q4 2025 release on February 18, 2026. Investors should monitor for any official confirmation from the company.

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Frequently asked questions

GFI
GFI$40.67
vs
KGC
KGC$27.92