ExxonMobil vs Petrobras
ExxonMobil and Petrobras are presented to show how this page compares business models, financial performance, and market context, helping readers understand differences in strategy, operations, and risk in a neutral, accessible way. Educational content, not financial advice.
ExxonMobil and Petrobras are presented to show how this page compares business models, financial performance, and market context, helping readers understand differences in strategy, operations, and ri...
Why It's Moving
XOM Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -10% Downside Risk
- Overbought RSI at 75 signals potential correction after 37% yearly gains and a fresh 52-week high, as momentum shifts bearish despite bullish MACD.
- Analysts cite capital-intensive operations and modest 2.3% revenue growth projections, with consensus 2026 price target of $135.39 implying downside from current levels near $149.
- Q4 2025 earnings fell year-over-year to $6.5B amid higher expenses and weaker refining margins, tempering optimism even as Permian and Guyana volumes expand.
PBR Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -3% Downside Risk
- Altman Z-Score in distress zone at 1.19 signals heightened bankruptcy risk, raising red flags for investors despite solid operating margins above 27%.
- Liquidity strains evident with current ratio at 0.82 and quick ratio at 0.57, hinting at challenges in covering short-term obligations amid Brazil's regulatory pressures.
- Stock's RSI at 68.77 nears overbought levels after a 4.74% surge to $15.04, suggesting a possible pullback as valuation metrics like P/E of 6.89 appear stretched relative to risks.
XOM Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -10% Downside Risk
- Overbought RSI at 75 signals potential correction after 37% yearly gains and a fresh 52-week high, as momentum shifts bearish despite bullish MACD.
- Analysts cite capital-intensive operations and modest 2.3% revenue growth projections, with consensus 2026 price target of $135.39 implying downside from current levels near $149.
- Q4 2025 earnings fell year-over-year to $6.5B amid higher expenses and weaker refining margins, tempering optimism even as Permian and Guyana volumes expand.
PBR Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -3% Downside Risk
- Altman Z-Score in distress zone at 1.19 signals heightened bankruptcy risk, raising red flags for investors despite solid operating margins above 27%.
- Liquidity strains evident with current ratio at 0.82 and quick ratio at 0.57, hinting at challenges in covering short-term obligations amid Brazil's regulatory pressures.
- Stock's RSI at 68.77 nears overbought levels after a 4.74% surge to $15.04, suggesting a possible pullback as valuation metrics like P/E of 6.89 appear stretched relative to risks.
Investment Analysis
ExxonMobil
XOM
Pros
- ExxonMobil has a strong market capitalization of approximately $484 billion, reflecting its status as a mega-cap company with significant scale.
- The company benefits from integrated operations across the oil value chain, allowing it to mitigate risks from crude price fluctuations through downstream activities.
- ExxonMobil demonstrates relative stability with lower volatility (around 5.71%) compared to some peers, supporting steadier performance.
Considerations
- ExxonMobil's stock price and market cap have declined nearly 10-13% over the past year, indicating recent challenges in growth or market sentiment.
- Its profitability and return metrics, such as return on assets, show weaknesses suggesting operational efficiency constraints in the current environment.
- The company’s valuation multiple (forward P/E around 13.14) is substantially higher than some peers offering potentially less margin of safety.
Petrobras
PBR
Pros
- Petrobras offers a compelling valuation with a very low forward P/E ratio near 3.64, providing a significant discount relative to ExxonMobil and other majors.
- The stock offers a high dividend yield exceeding 13%, supported by strong cash flow, attractive to income-focused investors.
- Despite challenges, Petrobras operates efficiently and benefits from exposure to global oil prices that currently provide margin protection.
Considerations
- Petrobras is exposed to high volatility due to its tight correlation with global oil prices and economic cyclicality, which can amplify downside risk.
- Government control and influence lead to frequent leadership changes and shifting policies, creating strategic and execution uncertainty.
- Currency risk stemming from exposure to the Brazilian real adds to the risk profile, complicating returns for international investors seeking dollar stability.
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ExxonMobil (XOM) Next Earnings Date
Exxon Mobil's next earnings date is estimated for late April to early May 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026). This projection aligns with the company's historical pattern of releasing Q1 results in late April or early May, as seen in prior years like April 26, 2024, for Q1 2024. No official date has been confirmed by the company as of now.
Petrobras (PBR) Next Earnings Date
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR)'s next earnings date is estimated for February 25, 2026. This report will cover the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025), aligning with the company's typical quarterly reporting cadence. Investors should monitor official company announcements, as dates remain estimates based on historical patterns and analyst consensus.
ExxonMobil (XOM) Next Earnings Date
Exxon Mobil's next earnings date is estimated for late April to early May 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 (Q1 2026). This projection aligns with the company's historical pattern of releasing Q1 results in late April or early May, as seen in prior years like April 26, 2024, for Q1 2024. No official date has been confirmed by the company as of now.
Petrobras (PBR) Next Earnings Date
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (PBR)'s next earnings date is estimated for February 25, 2026. This report will cover the fourth quarter of 2025 (Q4 2025), aligning with the company's typical quarterly reporting cadence. Investors should monitor official company announcements, as dates remain estimates based on historical patterns and analyst consensus.
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Americas-India Oil Axis
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Published: July 14, 2025
Explore BasketOil's Ascent
WTI crude oil prices have climbed to their highest levels since April, creating promising opportunities in the energy sector. These carefully selected stocks are positioned to benefit directly from sustained higher oil prices, giving you access to potential growth in this important market.
Published: July 1, 2025
Explore BasketWhich Baskets Do They Appear In?
Americas-India Oil Axis
A carefully selected group of stocks capturing the growing energy corridor between the Americas and India. These companies, handpicked by our expert analysts, represent both oil producers in the U.S. and Brazil and the tanker companies transporting crude across these new, long-haul routes.
Published: July 14, 2025
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WTI crude oil prices have climbed to their highest levels since April, creating promising opportunities in the energy sector. These carefully selected stocks are positioned to benefit directly from sustained higher oil prices, giving you access to potential growth in this important market.
Published: July 1, 2025
Explore BasketBuy XOM or PBR in Nemo
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