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EOG ResourcesMPLX

EOG Resources vs MPLX

This page compares EOG Resources and MPLX, examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in clear terms. It offers neutral analysis to help readers understand how each com...

Why It's Moving

EOG Resources

EOG Resources Gains Traction as Analysts Eye Undervaluation Amid Oil Sector Shifts.

  • Stock up 3.5% in the past week and 6.8% year-to-date, outpacing the S&P 500 amid broader energy sector repricing.
  • Analysts trimmed price targets citing oil supply glut and softer 2026 WTI forecasts at $60/barrel, but maintain positive ratings on data center-driven natgas demand.
  • Recent DCF models peg EOG as 55.9% undervalued at current levels around $112, fueled by $4.1B trailing free cash flow projections.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
MPLX

MPLX Gears Up for Pivotal Q4 Earnings as Latest Distribution Signals Steady Cash Flow Strength.

  • Quarterly distribution hiked to $1.0765 per unit, payable February 17, reinforcing MPLX's appeal as a high-yield midstream name with annualized payout of $4.31.
  • Q4 earnings due February 3, with consensus eyeing EPS of $1.06 and revenue of $3.23B—down sequentially from Q3's blowout but poised to test deal-driven growth momentum.
  • Analysts maintain Moderate Buy rating despite recent estimate cuts and a Raymond James downgrade, highlighting potential from pipeline expansions and AI-related energy demand.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • EOG Resources consistently beats profit expectations due to rigorous cost control and premium drilling focus, even in challenging commodity markets.
  • The company’s multi-basin production strategy and recent Utica shale acquisition underpin strong volume growth and operational diversification.
  • EOG maintains a robust balance sheet, active share repurchase programme, and consistent dividend, supporting financial resilience.

Considerations

  • Revenue growth lags earnings performance, with recent quarters showing top-line declines partly due to lower hydrocarbon prices.
  • The stock’s valuation multiples are generally higher than sector peers, potentially limiting near-term upside for new investors.
  • Upstream operations remain heavily exposed to oil and gas price volatility, creating cyclical earnings risk.
MPLX

MPLX

MPLX

Pros

  • MPLX’s fee-based business model, tied to midstream infrastructure, generates stable cash flows less sensitive to commodity price swings.
  • Strategic alignment with Marathon Petroleum provides long-term contracts, volume visibility, and integrated logistics advantages.
  • The partnership benefits from ongoing US energy infrastructure expansion, supporting distributable cash flow and distribution growth.

Considerations

  • Growth is largely tied to parent Marathon Petroleum’s capital spending, reducing operational independence and flexibility.
  • Regulatory scrutiny on pipelines and environmental policy shifts could impose additional compliance costs or project delays.
  • MLP structure typically results in complex tax reporting for individual investors compared to traditional corporations.

Related Market Insights

Venezuelan Oil's Return: A Game-Changer for U.S. Refiners

Discover how Venezuelan crude's return to US refineries creates tactical investment opportunities. Explore companies like Chevron, ExxonMobil, and Valero poised to benefit.

Author avatar

Aimee Silverwood | Financial Analyst

August 17, 2025

Read Insight

EOG Resources (EOG) Next Earnings Date

EOG Resources is scheduled to report its fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings on February 25, 2026, with a webcast and conference call beginning at 10:00 AM EST. The earnings report will cover the fiscal quarter ending December 2025. This upcoming announcement represents the company's final quarterly results for the 2025 fiscal year, following a pattern of reporting earnings approximately 7-8 weeks after quarter-end.

MPLX (MPLX) Next Earnings Date

MPLX LP is scheduled to report its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on February 3, 2026, before market open. The earnings report will cover the fiscal quarter and year ended December 31, 2025. A conference call is scheduled for 9:30 AM ET following the release. Based on historical patterns, the company typically reports earnings in early February each year.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Venezuelan Oil's Return to U.S. Refiners

Venezuelan Oil's Return to U.S. Refiners

Chevron has resumed shipping crude oil from Venezuela to the U.S., marking a significant policy shift and restoring a key supply chain. This creates a potential investment opportunity in U.S. refiners and energy logistics companies that are set to benefit from the influx of desirable heavy crude.

Published: August 17, 2025

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