ConocoPhillips vs BP

ConocoPhillips and BP compare their business models, financial performance indicators, and the market context in which they operate. This page provides a neutral overview of each company’s strategy, scale, and focus, highlighting similarities and differences in approach and potential implications for stakeholders. Educational content, not financial advice.

ConocoPhillips and BP compare their business models, financial performance indicators, and the market context in which they operate. This page provides a neutral overview of each company’s strategy, s...

Comparison Snapshot

Key Financial Metrics

COP

Metric

BP

$125.78B

Market Cap

$99.34B

9.50%

Potential Profit

7.51%

Buy

Analyst Rating

Buy

Why It's Moving

ConocoPhillips stock dips with oil prices as Q4 earnings loom on Thursday.

Oil benchmarks tumbled—Brent crude down 4.7% to $66/barrel and WTI nearly 5% to under $62—eroding value for COP's core exploration and production business.
Q4 consensus points to $1.23 EPS and $14.35B revenue, a 4.7% drop year-over-year, though COP has beaten estimates in the last four quarters with 6.27% average surprise.
Model flags low earnings beat odds with -2.54% ESP and Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), contrasting recent positives like Q3's $1.61 adjusted EPS beat and 8% dividend hike.

Sentiment:

🌋Volatile

BP Shares Surge on Oil Price Rebound and Aggressive Buyback Momentum

Brent oil rallied from $60 lows on US-Iran strike risks, Chinese stockpiling, and cold weather lifting gas prices, easing pressures on BP's refining margins.
BP expanded January buybacks to $750 million quarterly and transacted own shares on February 2, signaling strong capital returns to counter oil volatility.
Upcoming February 10 earnings forecast EPS growth to $0.57, up 29.55% year-over-year, with analysts eyeing positive revisions amid sector tailwinds.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

ConocoPhillips stock dips with oil prices as Q4 earnings loom on Thursday.

Oil benchmarks tumbled—Brent crude down 4.7% to $66/barrel and WTI nearly 5% to under $62—eroding value for COP's core exploration and production business.
Q4 consensus points to $1.23 EPS and $14.35B revenue, a 4.7% drop year-over-year, though COP has beaten estimates in the last four quarters with 6.27% average surprise.
Model flags low earnings beat odds with -2.54% ESP and Zacks Rank #4 (Sell), contrasting recent positives like Q3's $1.61 adjusted EPS beat and 8% dividend hike.

Sentiment:

🌋Volatile

BP Shares Surge on Oil Price Rebound and Aggressive Buyback Momentum

Brent oil rallied from $60 lows on US-Iran strike risks, Chinese stockpiling, and cold weather lifting gas prices, easing pressures on BP's refining margins.
BP expanded January buybacks to $750 million quarterly and transacted own shares on February 2, signaling strong capital returns to counter oil volatility.
Upcoming February 10 earnings forecast EPS growth to $0.57, up 29.55% year-over-year, with analysts eyeing positive revisions amid sector tailwinds.

Sentiment:

🐃Bullish

Investment Analysis

ConocoPhillips

COP

Pros

ConocoPhillips delivered a strong Q3 2025 earnings beat with adjusted EPS of $1.61, exceeding forecasts by over 11%.
The acquisition of Marathon Oil expanded U.S. shale production and generated cost synergies, supporting growth.
The company raised its full-year production guidance for 2025 and increased dividends by 8%, indicating operational confidence.

Considerations

ConocoPhillips' revenue for Q3 2025 missed expectations and the stock’s market cap has declined over 13% year-over-year.
The company faces risks from volatility in oil prices and potential cost overruns on large projects like the Willow Project in Alaska.
Recent workforce reductions of up to 25% signal cost pressures and potential operational challenges amid weaker oil prices.

BP

Pros

BP maintains a strong dividend yield of approximately 5.4%, providing steady income for investors.
The company’s market capitalization remains robust around $88.7 billion, reflecting significant scale in the global energy sector.
BP’s ongoing transition efforts towards lower-carbon energy sources position it well for long-term sector evolution.

Considerations

BP’s price-to-earnings ratio is relatively high at nearly 59, implying elevated valuation versus current earnings.
The stock is exposed to risks from fluctuating commodity prices and geopolitical uncertainties affecting oil and gas markets.
BP’s earnings growth faces pressure from market volatility and the challenges associated with its energy transition investments.

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