ChevronTotalEnergies

Chevron vs TotalEnergies

Large oil and gas company with refining business vs Integrated energy giant balancing oil and gas with renewables. Which is the better buy for your portfolio in September 2026? Plain-English answer below.

Chevron is one of the world's largest integrated energy companies with upstream production, refining, and a growing LNG footprint, while TotalEnergies is making a more aggressive push into renewables ...

Why It’s Moving

Chevron

Chevron’s rally is running into analyst caution as growth plans and oil prices keep the stock near highs.

  • Chevron’s Venezuela growth plan is the biggest recent catalyst, with the company moving to expand joint ventures and invest more than $7 billion over five years, a sign it expects longer-term production growth to offset softer near-term concerns.
  • The stock has also been lifted by firmer crude prices and a stronger energy backdrop, which has helped push CVX to fresh highs even as traders weigh how much of that optimism is already priced in.
  • Some analysts are flagging limited upside after the rally, pointing to a crowded trade near record levels and the risk that execution, regulatory, and geopolitical issues could slow the payoff from Chevron’s expansion plans.
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile
TotalEnergies

TotalEnergies is moving on Angola and Papua LNG developments as investors reassess growth momentum.

  • TotalEnergies is drawing attention after news of a new oil discovery in Angola and fresh exploration stakes, reinforcing the company’s push to expand reserves and extend production visibility.
  • The company also advanced Papua LNG toward a final investment decision, which matters because large project milestones can improve long-term growth expectations and support sentiment around future cash flow.
  • Investors are also weighing corporate actions, including a scheduled debt redemption and recent share activity, against a backdrop of firmer oil-sector interest and recurring analyst commentary on the stock.
Sentiment:
⚖️Neutral

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Chevron is trading significantly undervalued with a low price-to-free cash flow multiple around 16x, compared to its historical average near 30x.
  • Strong correlation between stock price and book value with a projected fair valuation implying substantial upside from current levels near $130.
  • Robust dividend yield near 4.5% with a total yield approaching 8.9%, supported by solid cash flow generation.

Considerations

  • Chevron’s stock has experienced a maximum drawdown of about 55.77%, indicating susceptibility to significant price declines in volatile markets.
  • The company faces commodity price volatility risks common in the oil and gas sector which can impact earnings unpredictably.
  • Chevron’s growth and valuation multiples are lower compared to some peers, potentially limiting capital gains in a low-growth scenario.

Pros

  • TotalEnergies offers an attractive valuation with a forward P/E of around 8x and EV/EBITDA near 3.8x, below historical averages indicating undervaluation.
  • High return on average capital employed projected at 11.3% for 2025, above sector average, supporting efficient capital use and profitability.
  • Strong dividend yield above 4.5% with a total distribution yield near 12%, underpinned by nearly five decades of consecutive dividend payments.

Considerations

  • TotalEnergies’ stock shows higher volatility at 6.54% compared to Chevron’s 5.06%, implying greater price fluctuation risk.
  • The company has experienced a larger maximum historical drawdown at nearly 60%, reflecting heightened downside risk in adverse conditions.
  • Despite strong fundamentals, recent stock performance has been relatively weak, highlighting potential execution or market perception challenges.

Chevron (CVX) Next Earnings Date

Chevron’s next earnings release is expected on October 30, 2026, and it should cover Q3 2026. The date is still an estimate, but it aligns with Chevron’s usual late-October reporting pattern. The company has not yet formally confirmed the announcement date.

TotalEnergies (TTE) Next Earnings Date

The next earnings date for TTE is October 29, 2026, with TotalEnergies’ third-quarter 2026 results expected then. This report will cover Q3 2026. The date is consistent with the company’s historical late-October reporting pattern.

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