ChevronTotalEnergies

Chevron vs TotalEnergies

Chevron and TotalEnergies are compared here to explore their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral way. The page outlines how each company approaches energy, capital ...

Why It's Moving

Chevron

CVX Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -7% Downside Risk

  • Insider sales topped 1.1M shares in 90 days, including CEO moves, eroding confidence in near-term outlook.
  • Earnings mixed: EPS beat at $1.52 vs. $1.44, but revenue plunged 10.2% year-over-year with a 106.91% payout ratio questioning dividend sustainability.
  • Wall Street consensus holds 'Hold' with average targets around $179, implying potential drop from $192 trading levels as caution prevails over positives.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish
TotalEnergies

TotalEnergies Shares Fluctuate as Fuel Price Caps and Gulf Tensions Weigh Against Strong Analyst Upgrades

  • TD Cowen raised its price target to $80 from $70 in mid-February, citing growth potential in TotalEnergies' power segment and resource development in Namibia, though the firm maintained a Hold rating
  • Shares declined in premarket trading Thursday as investors weighed the company's temporary fuel price caps—capping petrol at 1.99 euros and diesel at 2.09 euros per liter across 1,830 French stations—amid volatile fuel markets triggered by Gulf tensions and Strait of Hormuz shipping concerns
  • Year-to-date performance shows TTE up 20.31% since January 1st, outpacing the Dow Jones' 11.56% gain, with the stock trading at a 14.1x P/E valuation described as offering value relative to peers, though next earnings on April 29 are expected to show lower revenue and EPS versus year-ago figures
Sentiment:
🌋Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Chevron is trading significantly undervalued with a low price-to-free cash flow multiple around 16x, compared to its historical average near 30x.
  • Strong correlation between stock price and book value with a projected fair valuation implying substantial upside from current levels near $130.
  • Robust dividend yield near 4.5% with a total yield approaching 8.9%, supported by solid cash flow generation.

Considerations

  • Chevron’s stock has experienced a maximum drawdown of about 55.77%, indicating susceptibility to significant price declines in volatile markets.
  • The company faces commodity price volatility risks common in the oil and gas sector which can impact earnings unpredictably.
  • Chevron’s growth and valuation multiples are lower compared to some peers, potentially limiting capital gains in a low-growth scenario.

Pros

  • TotalEnergies offers an attractive valuation with a forward P/E of around 8x and EV/EBITDA near 3.8x, below historical averages indicating undervaluation.
  • High return on average capital employed projected at 11.3% for 2025, above sector average, supporting efficient capital use and profitability.
  • Strong dividend yield above 4.5% with a total distribution yield near 12%, underpinned by nearly five decades of consecutive dividend payments.

Considerations

  • TotalEnergies’ stock shows higher volatility at 6.54% compared to Chevron’s 5.06%, implying greater price fluctuation risk.
  • The company has experienced a larger maximum historical drawdown at nearly 60%, reflecting heightened downside risk in adverse conditions.
  • Despite strong fundamentals, recent stock performance has been relatively weak, highlighting potential execution or market perception challenges.

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Chevron (CVX) Next Earnings Date

Chevron (CVX) is estimated to announce its next earnings between April 27 and May 1, 2026, with several sources converging on May 1, 2026, prior to market open, as the company has not yet officially confirmed the date. This report will cover Q1 2026 results, following the Q4 2025 earnings released on January 30, 2026. Investors should monitor for an official announcement in the coming weeks, consistent with Chevron's historical quarterly pattern.

TotalEnergies (TTE) Next Earnings Date

TotalEnergies (TTE) next earnings release is scheduled for April 29, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026 results. This date aligns with the company's historical quarterly reporting pattern following the prior Q4 2025 report in February 2026. Investors should monitor for official confirmation as estimates may adjust based on ongoing developments.

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