CarvanaHilton

Carvana vs Hilton

This page compares Carvana Co. and Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., outlining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a neutral, accessible way. Educational content, not fin...

Why It's Moving

Carvana

Carvana Stock Tumbles on Short-Seller Allegations, but Analysts Push Targets Higher Amid Operational Strength.

  • Short report from Gotham alleged $1B accounting risks linked to DriveTime and GoFi, driving shares from $474 to a low of $375 and fueling bearish options activity.
  • Q3 earnings showcased record revenue acceleration, $4B gross profit at 21% margins, and $1B EBITDA, underscoring reconditioning efficiency and logistics gains.
  • JPMorgan hiked target to $510 (Overweight), Wells Fargo to $525, signaling confidence in 30%+ growth and 10% margins despite the noise.
Sentiment:
πŸŒ‹Volatile
Hilton

HLT Faces Analyst Warning of -7% Downside Despite Recent Bullish Upgrades and Earnings Anticipation

  • Multiple analysts like Goldman Sachs, TD Cowen, and JPMorgan recently raised targets to around $330, signaling confidence in Hilton's growth trajectory and repurchase plans.
  • Board boosted the stock buyback program by $3.5 billion to $4.6 billion total, underscoring faith in long-term value amid expectations of $11 billion in repurchases over four years.
  • Earnings preview points to 17.6% EPS growth to $2.07 and 7.3% revenue rise to $2.99 billion, with a positive Earnings ESP suggesting a likely beat that could counter downside fears.
Sentiment:
πŸŒ‹Volatile

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Carvana has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with 55% growth in Q3 2025 reaching $5.65 billion, surpassing analyst expectations.
  • The company improved profitability significantly in 2025, with adjusted EBITDA up 45% and GAAP net income rising 78%.
  • Carvana has successfully restructured its debt and cut costs, transitioning from aggressive growth to a more sustainable business model.

Considerations

  • Carvana faces risks from rising auto loan delinquencies, which may impact its financial stability and investor confidence.
  • The stock price is volatile, with mixed forecasts ranging from moderate declines around $288 to strong long-term growth over $1,300 by 2030.
  • Despite improvements, Carvana operates in a highly competitive used car market with potential execution risks related to scaling and inventory management.

Pros

  • Hilton has a strong global hospitality footprint with a widely recognised brand and diverse portfolio of hotel properties.
  • The company has a solid balance sheet with substantial market capitalization and enterprise value, supporting operational flexibility.
  • Hilton benefits from sustained demand recovery in travel and tourism sectors, driving steady revenue growth in recent quarters.

Considerations

  • Hilton's performance is sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as travel restrictions, economic downturns, and changes in consumer travel habits.
  • The hospitality industry faces rising operational costs including labour and energy, which can pressure margins.
  • Hilton is exposed to cyclical risks and potential regulatory changes in key international markets that could impact profitability.

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Carvana (CVNA) Next Earnings Date

Carvana (CVNA) is scheduled to report earnings on February 18, 2026, after market close. This release will cover the fourth quarter of 2025, aligning with the company's historical pattern of late-February announcements for Q4 results. Investors should monitor for updates, as dates remain subject to official confirmation.

Hilton (HLT) Next Earnings Date

Hilton Worldwide (HLT) will report its fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings on Wednesday, February 11, 2026, before market open at 9 a.m. EST. The earnings report will be followed by a conference call with President & CEO Christopher Nassetta and CFO Kevin Jacobs to discuss company performance and field analyst questions. This announcement represents the company's final earnings release for the 2025 fiscal year, providing investors with a comprehensive view of full-year results.

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