CarnivalLennar

Carnival vs Lennar

This page compares Carnival and Lennar, examining their business models, financial performance, and market context in a clear, neutral tone for readers. Educational content, not financial advice.

Why It's Moving

Carnival

Carnival Powers Ahead with Record Profits, Dividend Return, and Stellar 2026 Outlook.

  • Debt slashed by $10B since peak, with $19B refinancing paving the way for sub-3x leverage by 2026—slashing risk and boosting financial firepower.
  • Record net yields and 3.4x net debt to EBITDA ratio triggered dividend reinstatement at $0.15/share, signaling confidence in gushing cash flows.
  • 2026 bookings match 2025 highs at premium prices, with double-digit earnings growth eyed—extending the travel demand boom into next year.
Sentiment:
🐃Bullish
Lennar

LEN Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -1% Downside Risk

  • Wall Street consensus shifted to 'Reduce' after downgrades from Evercore, UBS, and Barclays, reflecting concerns over Lennar's recent EPS shortfall of $2.03 versus $2.30 expected.
  • Revenue dropped 5.8% year-over-year to $9.37 billion, highlighting weakening demand in single-family homes despite beating low expectations.
  • Broader homebuilder sector struggles with high interest rates curbing buyer sentiment, dragging LEN's performance despite a 19% YTD rise outperforming the S&P 500.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Strong financial outlook with raised FY25 net yield guidance indicating positive revenue growth potential.
  • Analyst consensus is a strong buy with price targets suggesting approximately 25-26% upside potential.
  • Company benefits from robust booking trends and easing travel sector restrictions boosting consumer demand.

Considerations

  • High beta of 2.53 indicates elevated stock price volatility compared to the market.
  • Despite improvements, operational costs remain significant with net cruise costs only slightly reduced.
  • Stock price has faced recent short-term declines and sector cyclicality may affect stability.

Pros

  • Market capitalization near $30 billion supports stability and market presence in homebuilding.
  • Attractive valuation with a price-earnings ratio around 11 suggesting potential affordability.
  • Diverse operations including homebuilding and financial services provide multiple growth avenues.

Considerations

  • Return on assets and equity metrics are moderate, indicating efficiency and profitability challenges relative to peers.
  • Exposure to housing market cyclical risks and interest rate fluctuations can impact demand and margins.
  • Dividend yield is modest at about 1.7%, which may be less appealing to income-focused investors.

Related Market Insights

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Author avatar

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July 25, 2025

Read Insight

Carnival (CCL) Next Earnings Date

Carnival Corporation (CCL) is scheduled to report its next earnings on March 20, 2026, covering the first quarter of 2026. This date aligns with the company's historical reporting pattern and has been consistently projected across multiple financial tracking sources. The earnings report will provide investors with updated financial performance metrics and management guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year.

Lennar (LEN) Next Earnings Date

Lennar's next earnings release is estimated for March 19, 2026, though the company has not yet officially confirmed this date. The report will cover the company's Q1 2026 results. Analysts are projecting earnings per share of approximately $0.96 for the upcoming period. This timing aligns with Lennar's historical earnings release schedule, typically occurring in mid-to-late March.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

Once-In-A-Decade

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This collection features companies that profit from life's biggest purchases - the ones you make only a few times. Carefully selected by our analysts, these businesses excel at maximizing value from milestone transactions like homes, vehicles, and luxury goods.

Published: June 17, 2025

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