ArcelorMittal vs Kinross Gold

This page compares ArcelorMittal and Kinross Gold, examining business models, financial performance, and market context to help readers understand each company's approach. It presents neutral, accessible information about strategies, strengths, and industry positions for both firms. Educational content, not financial advice.

This page compares ArcelorMittal and Kinross Gold, examining business models, financial performance, and market context to help readers understand each company's approach. It presents neutral, accessi...

Comparison Snapshot

Key Financial Metrics

MT

Metric

KGC

$46.72B

Market Cap

$38.57B

-27.49%

Potential Profit

-12.31%

Buy

Analyst Rating

Buy

Why It's Moving

MT Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -21% Downside Risk

Q4 earnings topped estimates even with lower shipments, highlighting resilient operations and record iron ore production from Liberia.
Company forecasts 2% global steel demand growth outside China in 2026, backed by $4.5-5.0B capex for energy transition and infrastructure plays.
GuruFocus pegs fair value at $30.16 versus current levels near $60, implying over 50% downside and clashing with Wall Street's milder $54 average target.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

KGC Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

CIBC hiked its price target to $54 on February 4, citing elevated gold forecasts to $6,000/oz in 2026, yet some see overvaluation risks if metal prices falter.
Kinross scheduled 2025 Q4 results and 2026 guidance for February 18, heightening uncertainty as markets anticipate details on reserves and capital plans.
Zacks flagged KGC as a value play with a Hold rank on February 2, but upward earnings revisions may not offset sector headwinds like geopolitical flux.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

MT Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -21% Downside Risk

Q4 earnings topped estimates even with lower shipments, highlighting resilient operations and record iron ore production from Liberia.
Company forecasts 2% global steel demand growth outside China in 2026, backed by $4.5-5.0B capex for energy transition and infrastructure plays.
GuruFocus pegs fair value at $30.16 versus current levels near $60, implying over 50% downside and clashing with Wall Street's milder $54 average target.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

KGC Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

CIBC hiked its price target to $54 on February 4, citing elevated gold forecasts to $6,000/oz in 2026, yet some see overvaluation risks if metal prices falter.
Kinross scheduled 2025 Q4 results and 2026 guidance for February 18, heightening uncertainty as markets anticipate details on reserves and capital plans.
Zacks flagged KGC as a value play with a Hold rank on February 2, but upward earnings revisions may not offset sector headwinds like geopolitical flux.

Sentiment:

🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

ArcelorMittal

MT

Pros

ArcelorMittal is well positioned to benefit from medium to long-term growth in steel demand driven by energy transition, infrastructure, and defence sectors.
Strong financial health with positive free cash flow outlook supports continuous funding of organic growth projects, enhancing future profitability.
Consistent shareholder returns through dividends and share buybacks have reduced diluted shares significantly, signalling capital return focus.

Considerations

Despite recent positive share price movements, operational momentum appears limited, which may constrain margin improvement.
Steel industry cyclicality and exposure to global commodity price fluctuations can impact financial stability and earnings visibility.
The market valuation based on PE ratio is relatively low compared to peers, reflecting possible concerns about growth sustainability or profitability.

Kinross Gold

KGC

Pros

Kinross Gold benefits from a diversified portfolio of gold mining assets across politically stable jurisdictions.
Gold prices tend to rise during economic uncertainty, potentially boosting Kinross Gold’s revenue and cash flow in volatile markets.
The company maintains a solid balance sheet, supporting exploration and development projects to sustain long-term production growth.

Considerations

Kinross Gold’s profitability is sensitive to fluctuating gold prices, which are subject to global macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
Operational risks including mine depletion and cost inflation could pressure margins and production consistency.
Exposure to regulatory and environmental compliance costs in multiple jurisdictions may increase operational expenses and capital requirements.

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