Air ProductsKinross Gold

Air Products vs Kinross Gold

Air Products vs Kinross Gold compares two corporations, examining business models, financial performance and market context in a neutral, accessible way. The analysis explains how each company operate...

Why It's Moving

Air Products

APD Surges on Stellar Q1 Earnings Beat and NASA Hydrogen Deals Sparking Bullish Momentum

  • Q1 adjusted EPS hit $3.16 versus $3.04 expected, with sales topping $3.1 billionβ€”up 5.8% year-over-yearβ€”signaling resilient demand for industrial gases amid economic headwinds.
  • Secured multi-year NASA deals for 36.5 million pounds of liquid hydrogen, reinforcing APD's leadership in space and clean hydrogen markets with tangible revenue visibility.
  • Upped quarterly dividend to $1.81 per share for the 44th straight year, highlighting steady cash flow generation while maintaining $4 billion capex for growth projects.
Sentiment:
πŸƒBullish
Kinross Gold

KGC Stock Warning: Why Analysts See -15% Downside Risk

  • CIBC hiked its price target to $54 on February 4, citing elevated gold forecasts to $6,000/oz in 2026, yet some see overvaluation risks if metal prices falter.
  • Kinross scheduled 2025 Q4 results and 2026 guidance for February 18, heightening uncertainty as markets anticipate details on reserves and capital plans.
  • Zacks flagged KGC as a value play with a Hold rank on February 2, but upward earnings revisions may not offset sector headwinds like geopolitical flux.
Sentiment:
🐻Bearish

Investment Analysis

Pros

  • Air Products maintains a large scale with fiscal 2025 full-year sales of $12 billion, providing significant market presence in industrial gases.
  • Adjusted operating income of $2.9 billion, despite a slight decline, reflects strong core profitability and resilience amid challenging volume conditions.
  • The company benefits from productivity improvements and non-helium pricing increases that partially offset cost inflation and volume declines.

Considerations

  • Fiscal 2025 results showed a GAAP operating loss of $877 million and a loss per share of $1.74, indicating near-term profitability pressures.
  • Sales volumes declined by 4% due to lower helium demand and project exits, highlighting exposure to cyclical and structural demand shifts.
  • Share price recently hit a 12-month low, reflecting market concerns over earnings performance and growth prospects.

Pros

  • Kinross Gold has a robust financial profile with strong debt management and a market capitalization near $29 billion, supporting operational stability.
  • The Great Bear project, comprising 23% of the company’s net asset value, is expected to significantly enhance future growth upon resource updates.
  • Kinross’s disciplined portfolio transition and strategic focus position the company well to navigate geopolitical risks and evolving gold market dynamics.

Considerations

  • Kinross trades at a premium valuation with a price-to-book ratio of 3.0x, higher than the sector average, potentially limiting upside in share price.
  • Analysts show mixed outlooks with price targets reflecting only modest upside, indicating uncertainty about near-term growth catalysts.
  • Gold industry exposure makes Kinross vulnerable to commodity price volatility, which can materially impact earnings and cash flow.

Related Market Insights

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Kinross Gold (KGC) Next Earnings Date

Kinross Gold (KGC) is scheduled to report its next earnings on February 18, 2026, covering Q4 and full-year 2025 results along with 2026 guidance. This date aligns with the company's historical mid-February pattern for year-end releases, as confirmed in recent announcements. Investors should monitor for any official updates from Kinross, with results expected after market close.

Which Baskets Do They Appear In?

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